Region = NJ    Grp 4N           
   Nickname = J Colonials            Coach  =   Evan Mager            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.1053162    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Immaculate Heart, NJ   NJ    Grp 3N  (11- 8, 85.0)     6-12   
 401 H Villa Walsh Academy    NJ    Grp 1N  ( 4-13, 67.8)    15- 7   
 405 A Westfield, NJ          NJ    Grp 4N  ( 7- 9, 82.9)    13-15   
 407 A Mountain Lakes         NJ    Grp 1N  (18- 3, 92.1)     4-17   
 409 H North Hunterdon        NJ    Grp 4N  ( 5-12, 74.2)    20- 8   
 412 A Montclair HS           NJ    Grp 4N  (14- 6, 83.8)    11-12 2o
 414 A Shore Regional         NJ    Grp 1S  (16- 9, 80.9)    10- 9   
 415 H Kinnelon               NJ    Grp 1N  (12- 8, 78.3)    19- 9   
 418 H Columbia, NJ           NJ    Grp 4N  ( 5-13, 67.9)    19- 5   
 422 A Verona, NJ             NJ    Grp 1N  (10-10, 76.9)    13- 8   
 426 H Caldwell               NJ    Grp 2N  ( 6-10, 70.9)    23-11   
 430 H Jefferson Township     NJ    Grp 2N  ( 7-12, 70.6)    14- 3   
 503 A West Morris Central    NJ    Grp 3N  ( 6- 9, 78.4)    16-10   
 505 N Mountain Lakes         NJ    Grp 1N  (18- 3, 92.1)     4-16   
 507 A Madison, NJ            NJ    Grp 2N  ( 7- 7, 78.2)    19- 9   
 511 A Randolph, NJ           NJ    Grp 4N  ( 5-11, 71.9)    17- 8   
 512 A Mt. St. Dominic Acad   NJ    Grp 1N  ( 2-14, 63.1)    16- 4   
 514 H Northern Highlands     NJ    Grp 3N  (17- 5, 87.5)     6-11   
 516 H Morris Knolls          NJ    Grp 4N  ( 8-12, 71.6)    16- 6   
 518 H Watchung Hills         NJ    Grp 4N  ( 6-11, 75.8)    18- 6   
 520 H Morris Catholic        NJ    Grp 1N  (12- 8, 79.6)    17- 6   
 523 A Hunterdon Central      NJ    Grp 4N  (18- 3, 89.4)     8-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Immaculate Heart, NJ    6-12      -6     0    ---   -6.55
   401 H Villa Walsh Academy    15- 7       8    17    -     -2.00
   405 A Westfield, NJ          13-15      -2     0    -     -2.07
   407 A Mountain Lakes          4-17     -13    -9          -0.79
   409 H North Hunterdon        20- 8      12    11           0.00
   412 A Montclair HS           11-12 2o   -1     0          -0.09
   414 A Shore Regional         10- 9       1     2          -1.04
   415 H Kinnelon               19- 9      10     7    +      2.75
   418 H Columbia, NJ           19- 5      14    17           0.00
   422 A Verona, NJ             13- 8       5     6          -1.03
   426 H Caldwell               23-11      12    14           0.00
   430 H Jefferson Township     14- 3      11    14           0.00
   503 A West Morris Central    16-10       6     4           1.52
   505 N Mountain Lakes          4-16     -12    -7    -     -2.10
   507 A Madison, NJ            19- 9      10     4    ++     5.24
   511 A Randolph, NJ           17- 8       9    11          -1.00
   512 A Mt. St. Dominic Acad   16- 4      12    19           0.00
   514 H Northern Highlands      6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.09
   516 H Morris Knolls          16- 6      10    13           0.00
   518 H Watchung Hills         18- 6      12     9           0.29
   520 H Morris Catholic        17- 6      11     5    ++     4.02
   523 A Hunterdon Central       8-17      -9    -6    -     -2.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Immaculate Heart, NJ    6-12      -6     0    ---   -6.55
   401 H Villa Walsh Academy    15- 7       8    17    -     -2.00
   405 A Westfield, NJ          13-15      -2     0    -     -2.07
   505 N Mountain Lakes          4-16     -12    -7    -     -2.10
   514 H Northern Highlands      6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.09
   523 A Hunterdon Central       8-17      -9    -6    -     -2.48

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Madison, NJ            19- 9      10     4    ++     5.24
   520 H Morris Catholic        17- 6      11     5    ++     4.02
   415 H Kinnelon               19- 9      10     7    +      2.75
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.24 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.00 Local SOS Rank.............    38
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    53
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   110
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    38
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/