Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   David Yelle           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.8264923    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 411 H Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (19- 5, 93.5)     6-15   
 414 A Belchertown            MA    C/W D2  ( 6-13, 71.4)    14- 3   
 416 N Niskayuna              NY B  Sec 2   (16- 3, 99.9)     6-18   
 419 A Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 87.9)     7-10   
 421 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    C/W D1  ( 9- 8, 76.5)    19- 7   
 423 A Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  ( 7-11, 78.5)    15- 3   
 425 H East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  (10- 8, 77.6)     7- 2   
 428 A Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (19- 5, 93.5)     5- 7   
 430 A Shrewsbury             MA    C/W D1  ( 8-12, 74.7)    15- 4   
 503 H West Springfield, MA   MA    C/W D1  ( 7-11, 71.5)    16- 0   
 505 H Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 87.9)    15- 5   
 509 A Tantasqua              MA    C/W D1  (14- 8, 75.3)    15- 5   
 512 A South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 3-15, 65.9)    17- 5   
 514 H Duxbury                MA    So D1   (12-10, 83.5)    15-12   
 516 A Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (12- 8, 81.2)    12- 7   
 519 H Amherst-Pelham         MA    C/W D1  ( 5-15, 67.2)    14- 0   
 523 H South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 3-15, 65.9)    16- 2   
 524 H Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (12- 8, 81.2)    18- 5   
 602 H East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  (10- 8, 77.6)    15- 5   
 607 A Westborough            MA    C/W D1  (17- 1, 89.8)     8- 6   
 611 N Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (19- 5, 93.5)     1-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Longmeadow              6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.99
   414 A Belchertown            14- 3      11    16           0.00
   416 N Niskayuna               6-18     -12   -11          n/a  
   419 A Agawam                  7-10      -3     0    -     -3.13
   421 A Westfield HS, MA       19- 7      12    11           0.00
   423 A Algonquin              15- 3      12     9           0.46
   425 H East Longmeadow         7- 2       5    11    --    -5.00
   428 A Longmeadow              5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.44
   430 A Shrewsbury             15- 4      11    13           0.00
   503 H West Springfield, MA   16- 0      16    17           0.00
   505 H Agawam                 15- 5      10     1    +++    8.44
   509 A Tantasqua              15- 5      10    12           0.00
   512 A South Hadley           17- 5      12    22           0.00
   514 H Duxbury                15-12       3     5    -     -2.95
   516 A Northampton, MA        12- 7       5     6          -1.78
   519 H Amherst-Pelham         14- 0      14    22           0.00
   523 H South Hadley           16- 2      14    23           0.00
   524 H Northampton, MA        18- 5      13     8           1.79
   602 H East Longmeadow        15- 5      10    11           0.00
   607 A Westborough             8- 6       2    -1    +      3.81
   611 N Longmeadow              1-11     -10    -4    --    -5.27

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Longmeadow              6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.99
   425 H East Longmeadow         7- 2       5    11    --    -5.00
   611 N Longmeadow              1-11     -10    -4    --    -5.27
   419 A Agawam                  7-10      -3     0    -     -3.13
   514 H Duxbury                15-12       3     5    -     -2.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Agawam                 15- 5      10     1    +++    8.44
   428 A Longmeadow              5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.44
   607 A Westborough             8- 6       2    -1    +      3.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.74 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.02 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   117
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/