Region = NY A  Sec 9            
   Nickname = Y Middie Bears         Coach  =   Rachel Koontz         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.4024353    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 A Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   (13- 4, 96.6)     2-15   
 414 H Warwick, NY            NY B  Sec 9   ( 7-10, 88.0)     6-13   
 415 A Red Hook               NY C  Sec 9   (10- 6, 92.4)     4-14   
 418 A Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   ( 3-11, 77.3)    13- 6   
 420 H Kingston               NY A  Sec 9   (14- 5, 99.9)     2-21   
 423 H Minisink Valley        NY B  Sec 9   (14- 5, 94.6)     6-14   
 427 A Valley Central         NY A  Sec 9   (10- 5, 87.4)     4- 5   
 429 H Newburgh Free Acad     NY A  Sec 9   ( 0-16, 73.1)     7- 5   
 502 A Goshen                 NY B  Sec 9   (15- 3, 94.8)     3-14   
 505 H Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   (13- 4, 96.6)     0-12   
 509 H Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   ( 3-11, 77.3)    12-10   
 511 A Kingston               NY A  Sec 9   (14- 5, 99.9)     2-22   
 512 H Valley Central         NY A  Sec 9   (10- 5, 87.4)     6- 9   
 516 A Newburgh Free Acad     NY A  Sec 9   ( 0-16, 73.1)     5- 4   
 519 A New Paltz              NY C  Sec 9   ( 3-11, 78.1)     4- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Monroe-Woodbury         2-15     -13   -17           0.00
   414 H Warwick, NY             6-13      -7    -8           1.66
   415 A Red Hook                4-14     -10   -13           0.00
   418 A Pine Bush              13- 6       7     1    ++     5.55
   420 H Kingston                2-21     -19   -20           0.00
   423 H Minisink Valley         6-14      -8   -15    +      2.00
   427 A Valley Central          4- 5      -1    -8    +++    7.68
   429 H Newburgh Free Acad      7- 5       2     6    --    -4.24
   502 A Goshen                  3-14     -11   -16           0.00
   505 H Monroe-Woodbury         0-12     -12   -17           0.00
   509 H Pine Bush              12-10       2     2          -0.01
   511 A Kingston                2-22     -20   -21           0.00
   512 H Valley Central          6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.12
   516 A Newburgh Free Acad      5- 4       1     5    --    -4.68
   519 A New Paltz               4- 8      -4     0    --    -4.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Newburgh Free Acad      7- 5       2     6    --    -4.24
   516 A Newburgh Free Acad      5- 4       1     5    --    -4.68
   519 A New Paltz               4- 8      -4     0    --    -4.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Valley Central          4- 5      -1    -8    +++    7.68
   418 A Pine Bush              13- 6       7     1    ++     5.55
   512 H Valley Central          6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.12
   423 H Minisink Valley         6-14      -8   -15    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.01 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.68 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/