Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Colonels             Coach  =   Lauren McCabe         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   66.2094955    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Rockville              MD    3A-2A   ( 1-20, 55.6)    11-10   
 324 H Poolesville            MD    3A-2A   (11- 3, 77.6)     4-23   
 404 A Walter Johnson         MD    4A-3A   ( 3- 7, 66.3)     5-16   
 409 A Montgomery Blair       MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 5, 62.3)     7- 9   
 412 H Einstein               MD    4A-3A   ( 1- 8, 46.6)    14- 3   
 414 A Wheaton, MD            MD    3A-2A   ( 2- 6, 51.2)    14- 3   
 418 A Kennedy, MD            MD    4A-3A   ( 0- 8, 45.2)    17- 5   
 421 H Northwood, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 2- 6, 52.5)    17- 7   
 425 H Wootton                MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 5, 74.2)     1-12   
 427 A Gaithersburg           MD    4A-3A   ( 5- 7, 63.1)     7-11   
 429 A Springbrook            MD    4A-3A   ( 5- 5, 62.8)    10-14   
 506 H Clarksburg             MD    4A-3A   ( 4- 7, 61.1)   
 516 A Montgomery Blair       MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 5, 62.3)    16-13   
 518 A Howard                 MD    4A-3A   (13- 5, 91.0)     2-26   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Rockville              11-10       1     4    -     -3.91
   324 H Poolesville             4-23     -19   -15           0.00
   404 A Walter Johnson          5-16     -11    -5    --    -4.16
   409 A Montgomery Blair        7- 9      -2    -1          -0.17
   412 H Einstein               14- 3      11    15           0.00
   414 A Wheaton, MD            14- 3      11     9           0.68
   418 A Kennedy, MD            17- 5      12    15           0.00
   421 H Northwood, MD          17- 7      10     9           0.81
   425 H Wootton                 1-12     -11   -12           0.00
   427 A Gaithersburg            7-11      -4    -2          -1.39
   429 A Springbrook            10-14      -4    -2          -1.71
   516 A Montgomery Blair       16-13       3    -1    ++     4.83
   518 A Howard                  2-26     -24   -30           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Walter Johnson          5-16     -11    -5    --    -4.16
   322 A Rockville              11-10       1     4    -     -3.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Montgomery Blair       16-13       3    -1    ++     4.83
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 61.09 Local Power Rank...........   106
 Local SOS Rating......... 33.07 Local SOS Rank.............   116
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............   103
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    70
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    83
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -24.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -24.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/