Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Steve Dudeck          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.1343842    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  (10- 8, 77.6)    18- 1   
 406 A Loomis Chaffee School  NE            (17- 0, 99.9)     8-10   
 411 A Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (16- 5, 88.7)    15- 6   
 415 H Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 87.9)    18- 5   
 416 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (13- 4, 94.5)     8- 6   
 419 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    C/W D1  ( 9- 8, 76.5)    17- 6   
 421 H Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (24- 1, 99.9)     7- 8   
 422 A Notre Dame, Hingham    MA    So D1   (19- 4, 96.7)     2-14   
 425 A Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 87.9)    15- 9   
 428 H Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (16- 5, 88.7)     7- 5   
 505 A Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (12- 8, 81.2)    14- 7   
 506 A Darien                 CT    Class L (21- 1, 99.9)     5-13   
 509 A South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 3-15, 65.9)    19- 3   
 510 H West Springfield, MA   MA    C/W D1  ( 7-11, 71.5)    18- 2   
 511 H South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 3-15, 65.9)    19- 1   
 513 A Amherst-Pelham         MA    C/W D1  ( 5-15, 67.2)    13- 1   
 517 H New Canaan             CT    Class M (19- 4, 95.0)    14- 6   
 520 H Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (12- 8, 81.2)    17- 2   
 521 A Glastonbury            CT    Class L (11- 7, 89.1)    14- 7   
 524 A Belchertown            MA    C/W D2  ( 6-13, 71.4)    19- 1   
 603 H Wachusett              MA    C/W D1  (12- 8, 78.2)    18- 2   
 607 H Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 87.9)    13- 5   
 611 N Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (16- 5, 88.7)    11- 1   
 614 N Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (24- 1, 99.9)     6-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H East Longmeadow        18- 1      17    16           0.00
   406 A Loomis Chaffee School   8-10      -2    -7          n/a  
   411 A Minnechaug             15- 6       9     4    ++     4.99
   415 H Agawam                 18- 5      13     6    +      3.72
   416 A Guilderland             8- 6       2    -1          n/a  
   419 A Westfield HS, MA       17- 6      11    16           0.00
   421 H Westwood, MA            7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.72
   422 A Notre Dame, Hingham     2-14     -12    -3    ---   -6.06
   425 A Agawam                 15- 9       6     4           1.14
   428 H Minnechaug              7- 5       2     5    -     -3.44
   505 A Northampton, MA        14- 7       7    11    -     -3.00
   506 A Darien                  5-13      -8    -7          n/a  
   509 A South Hadley           19- 3      16    26           0.00
   510 H West Springfield, MA   18- 2      16    22           0.00
   511 H South Hadley           19- 1      18    28           0.00
   513 A Amherst-Pelham         13- 1      12    25           0.00
   517 H New Canaan             14- 6       8     0          n/a  
   520 H Northampton, MA        17- 2      15    12           0.00
   521 A Glastonbury            14- 7       7     3          n/a  
   524 A Belchertown            19- 1      18    21           0.00
   603 H Wachusett              18- 2      16    15           0.00
   607 H Agawam                 13- 5       8     6           1.72
   611 N Minnechaug             11- 1      10     4    ++     5.27
   614 N Westwood, MA            6-12      -6    -6           0.43

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Notre Dame, Hingham     2-14     -12    -3    ---   -6.06
   428 H Minnechaug              7- 5       2     5    -     -3.44
   505 A Northampton, MA        14- 7       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 H New Canaan             14- 6       8     0    +++        
   406 A Loomis Chaffee School   8-10      -2    -7    ++         
   411 A Minnechaug             15- 6       9     4    ++     4.99
   421 H Westwood, MA            7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.72
   611 N Minnechaug             11- 1      10     4    ++     5.27
   415 H Agawam                 18- 5      13     6    +      3.72
   416 A Guilderland             8- 6       2    -1    +          
   521 A Glastonbury            14- 7       7     3    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.47 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.81 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.69 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 19- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/