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Region = MA C/W D1 Nickname = A Lancers Coach = Steve DudeckGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.1343842 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 H East Longmeadow MA C/W D1 (10- 8, 77.6) 18- 1 406 A Loomis Chaffee School NE (17- 0, 99.9) 8-10 411 A Minnechaug MA C/W D1 (16- 5, 88.7) 15- 6 415 H Agawam MA C/W D1 (14- 4, 87.9) 18- 5 416 A Guilderland NY A Sec 2 (13- 4, 94.5) 8- 6 419 A Westfield HS, MA MA C/W D1 ( 9- 8, 76.5) 17- 6 421 H Westwood, MA MA So D1 (24- 1, 99.9) 7- 8 422 A Notre Dame, Hingham MA So D1 (19- 4, 96.7) 2-14 425 A Agawam MA C/W D1 (14- 4, 87.9) 15- 9 428 H Minnechaug MA C/W D1 (16- 5, 88.7) 7- 5 505 A Northampton, MA MA C/W D1 (12- 8, 81.2) 14- 7 506 A Darien CT Class L (21- 1, 99.9) 5-13 509 A South Hadley MA C/W D1 ( 3-15, 65.9) 19- 3 510 H West Springfield, MA MA C/W D1 ( 7-11, 71.5) 18- 2 511 H South Hadley MA C/W D1 ( 3-15, 65.9) 19- 1 513 A Amherst-Pelham MA C/W D1 ( 5-15, 67.2) 13- 1 517 H New Canaan CT Class M (19- 4, 95.0) 14- 6 520 H Northampton, MA MA C/W D1 (12- 8, 81.2) 17- 2 521 A Glastonbury CT Class L (11- 7, 89.1) 14- 7 524 A Belchertown MA C/W D2 ( 6-13, 71.4) 19- 1 603 H Wachusett MA C/W D1 (12- 8, 78.2) 18- 2 607 H Agawam MA C/W D1 (14- 4, 87.9) 13- 5 611 N Minnechaug MA C/W D1 (16- 5, 88.7) 11- 1 614 N Westwood, MA MA So D1 (24- 1, 99.9) 6-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H East Longmeadow 18- 1 17 16 0.00 406 A Loomis Chaffee School 8-10 -2 -7 n/a 411 A Minnechaug 15- 6 9 4 ++ 4.99 415 H Agawam 18- 5 13 6 + 3.72 416 A Guilderland 8- 6 2 -1 n/a 419 A Westfield HS, MA 17- 6 11 16 0.00 421 H Westwood, MA 7- 8 -1 -5 ++ 4.72 422 A Notre Dame, Hingham 2-14 -12 -3 --- -6.06 425 A Agawam 15- 9 6 4 1.14 428 H Minnechaug 7- 5 2 5 - -3.44 505 A Northampton, MA 14- 7 7 11 - -3.00 506 A Darien 5-13 -8 -7 n/a 509 A South Hadley 19- 3 16 26 0.00 510 H West Springfield, MA 18- 2 16 22 0.00 511 H South Hadley 19- 1 18 28 0.00 513 A Amherst-Pelham 13- 1 12 25 0.00 517 H New Canaan 14- 6 8 0 n/a 520 H Northampton, MA 17- 2 15 12 0.00 521 A Glastonbury 14- 7 7 3 n/a 524 A Belchertown 19- 1 18 21 0.00 603 H Wachusett 18- 2 16 15 0.00 607 H Agawam 13- 5 8 6 1.72 611 N Minnechaug 11- 1 10 4 ++ 5.27 614 N Westwood, MA 6-12 -6 -6 0.43UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Notre Dame, Hingham 2-14 -12 -3 --- -6.06 428 H Minnechaug 7- 5 2 5 - -3.44 505 A Northampton, MA 14- 7 7 11 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 517 H New Canaan 14- 6 8 0 +++ 406 A Loomis Chaffee School 8-10 -2 -7 ++ 411 A Minnechaug 15- 6 9 4 ++ 4.99 421 H Westwood, MA 7- 8 -1 -5 ++ 4.72 611 N Minnechaug 11- 1 10 4 ++ 5.27 415 H Agawam 18- 5 13 6 + 3.72 416 A Guilderland 8- 6 2 -1 + 521 A Glastonbury 14- 7 7 3 +/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 93.47 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 68.81 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.69 Local RPI Rank............. 6 Championship Probability . 7.0 Championship Rank ....... 3 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 19- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -6.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.0