Region = VA 4A North            
   Nickname = A Raiders              Coach  =   Meghan Kerns          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.6320343    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H Potomac Falls          VA 5A North   (19- 1, 91.2)     9-18   
 317 A Briar Woods            VA 5A North   ( 5-10, 73.1)    13-12   
 329 A Freedom, South Riding  VA 4A North   (17- 1, 84.5)     4-11   
 331 H Tuscarora, VA          VA 5A North   ( 8- 6, 77.4)    14- 8   
 404 A Fauquier               VA 4A North   ( 3- 6, 67.7)    17- 9   
 407 A John Champe            VA 4A North   (10- 8, 74.1)    17- 6   
 411 A Park View              VA 4A North   ( 0-10, 54.3)    25- 1   
 414 A George Mason           VA 4A North   (14- 6, 87.0)     5-17   
 418 H Rock Ridge             VA 4A North   ( 6- 9, 71.2)    10- 9   
 425 H Riverside, VA          VA 4A North   (10- 5, 79.8)    13-18   
 502 H Dominion               VA 4A North   (14- 2, 87.6)     6-10   
 505 H Loudoun Valley         VA 4A North   ( 6-11, 75.8)     8-11   
 509 A Woodgrove              VA 4A North   (18- 3, 90.5)     3-17   
 512 A Heritage, VA           VA 4A North   ( 0-14, 62.4)    20- 7   
 517 A George Mason           VA 4A North   (14- 6, 87.0)     9-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Potomac Falls           9-18      -9   -13           1.00
   317 A Briar Woods            13-12       1     3    -     -2.10
   329 A Freedom, South Riding   4-11      -7    -8           1.31
   331 H Tuscarora, VA          14- 8       6     0    ++     5.34
   404 A Fauquier               17- 9       8     8          -0.45
   407 A John Champe            17- 6      11     2    +++    7.92
   411 A Park View              25- 1      24    21           0.00
   414 A George Mason            5-17     -12   -10           0.00
   418 H Rock Ridge             10- 9       1     6    --    -5.81
   425 H Riverside, VA          13-18      -5    -1    -     -3.25
   502 H Dominion                6-10      -4    -9    ++     5.56
   505 H Loudoun Valley          8-11      -3     2    --    -5.25
   509 A Woodgrove               3-17     -14   -14           0.00
   512 A Heritage, VA           20- 7      13    13           0.00
   517 A George Mason            9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Rock Ridge             10- 9       1     6    --    -5.81
   505 H Loudoun Valley          8-11      -3     2    --    -5.25
   317 A Briar Woods            13-12       1     3    -     -2.10
   425 H Riverside, VA          13-18      -5    -1    -     -3.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A John Champe            17- 6      11     2    +++    7.92
   331 H Tuscarora, VA          14- 8       6     0    ++     5.34
   502 H Dominion                6-10      -4    -9    ++     5.56
   517 A George Mason            9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.10 Local Power Rank...........    47
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.75 Local SOS Rank.............    36
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    47
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    74
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    55
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/