Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Tim Myslinski         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.0570984    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 5-12, 74.9)    14- 0   
 408 A Nichols School         NY    Private (10- 4, 87.5)     8- 6   
 413 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 87.9)    14- 5   
 415 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 81.0)    12- 5   
 416 A Mt. St. Mary's Acad, N NY    Martin  (14- 6, 84.1)    11- 6   
 418 A Amherst, NY            NY C  Sec 6   (14- 5, 92.8)     8-11   
 422 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (14- 4, 95.0)    10-11  o
 427 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 85.0)    16- 6   
 429 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (12- 8, 90.4)    11-10   
 430 H Lake Shore             NY C  Sec 6   (18- 1, 99.9)     4-19   
 502 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (11- 6, 83.0)    16- 5   
 504 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 81.0)    16- 7   
 509 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 85.0)    13- 6   
 511 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (14- 4, 95.0)     9-10   
 518 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (12- 8, 90.4)    10- 9  o
 520 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 83.3)    14- 3   
 526 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 85.0)  9
 601 N Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (14- 4, 95.0)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Eden                   14- 0      14    18           0.00
   408 A Nichols School          8- 6       2     4    -     -2.11
   413 H West Seneca East       14- 5       9     5    +      3.11
   415 H Orchard Park           12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00
   416 A Mt. St. Mary's Acad, N 11- 6       5     7    -     -2.51
   418 A Amherst, NY             8-11      -3    -1          -1.77
   422 A Lancaster, NY          10-11  o   -1    -3    +      2.44
   427 H Clarence               16- 6      10     8           1.18
   429 A Hamburg                11-10       1     1          -0.20
   430 H Lake Shore              4-19     -15    -6    -     -3.88
   502 A Niagara-Wheatfield     16- 5      11     8           1.44
   504 A Orchard Park           16- 7       9    10          -1.00
   509 A Clarence               13- 6       7     6           0.36
   511 H Lancaster, NY           9-10      -1    -1           0.26
   518 H Hamburg                10- 9  o    1     3    -     -2.38
   520 A Grand Island           14- 3      11     8           1.72
   601 N Lancaster, NY           6- 8      -2    -2           0.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Nichols School          8- 6       2     4    -     -2.11
   415 H Orchard Park           12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00
   416 A Mt. St. Mary's Acad, N 11- 6       5     7    -     -2.51
   430 H Lake Shore              4-19     -15    -6    -     -3.88
   518 H Hamburg                10- 9  o    1     3    -     -2.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H West Seneca East       14- 5       9     5    +      3.11
   422 A Lancaster, NY          10-11  o   -1    -3    +      2.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.69 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.76 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   10.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.190.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/