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Region = MA East D1 Nickname = A Flyers Coach = Stacy FredaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.6281052 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Woburn Memorial MA No D1 (16- 5, 82.3) 7- 6 408 H Natick MA East D1 ( 8- 7, 82.8) 11- 3 412 A Needham MA So D1 (20- 3, 94.9) 10-18 414 H Dedham MA So D2 ( 7-11, 73.0) 16- 6 415 H Austin Prep, MA MA No D2 (18- 4, 83.6) 11- 5 420 A Reading Memorial MA No D1 ( 7-11, 74.2) 18- 6 422 H Winchester MA No D1 (10- 9, 79.1) 19-15 426 H Newton North MA East D1 (11- 9, 85.1) 9- 3 429 H Milton HS, MA MA So D1 ( 4- 9, 73.3) 12- 8 503 H Braintree MA So D1 (16- 7, 83.2) 17- 4 505 A Norwood MA So D1 ( 4-12, 72.8) 18- 7 506 A Westwood, MA MA So D1 (24- 1, 99.9) 8-18 510 A Walpole MA East D2 (20- 4, 92.0) 13-15 512 H Wellesley HS MA So D1 (15- 5, 90.1) 11-13 514 H Billerica Memorial MA No D1 (14- 6, 84.5) 11-18 517 A Weymouth MA So D1 ( 6-14, 67.0) 16- 4 519 A Brookline MA East D1 ( 4-12, 70.5) 18- 4 520 A Westford Academy MA East D1 (12- 9, 85.5) 9-13 523 A Bishop Fenwick, MA MA No D2 (16- 4, 83.4) 17-10 602 H Waltham MA East D1 ( 9-10, 79.1) 18-14 604 H Bishop Feehan MA East D1 (19- 2, 90.1) 10-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Woburn Memorial 7- 6 1 3 - -2.56 408 H Natick 11- 3 8 4 + 3.54 412 A Needham 10-18 -8 -9 1.04 414 H Dedham 16- 6 10 14 0.00 415 H Austin Prep, MA 11- 5 6 3 + 2.35 420 A Reading Memorial 18- 6 12 11 0.00 422 H Winchester 19-15 4 8 -- -4.16 426 H Newton North 9- 3 6 2 + 3.80 429 H Milton HS, MA 12- 8 4 13 --- -6.00 503 H Braintree 17- 4 13 4 ++ 5.94 505 A Norwood 18- 7 11 13 0.00 506 A Westwood, MA 8-18 -10 -14 0.00 510 A Walpole 13-15 -2 -6 ++ 4.18 512 H Wellesley HS 11-13 -2 -2 0.78 514 H Billerica Memorial 11-18 -7 2 --- -9.77 517 A Weymouth 16- 4 12 18 0.00 519 A Brookline 18- 4 14 15 0.00 520 A Westford Academy 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.37 523 A Bishop Fenwick, MA 17-10 7 2 ++ 4.55 602 H Waltham 18-14 4 8 -- -4.13 604 H Bishop Feehan 10-11 -1 -2 1.85UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 H Milton HS, MA 12- 8 4 13 --- -6.00 514 H Billerica Memorial 11-18 -7 2 --- -9.77 422 H Winchester 19-15 4 8 -- -4.16 520 A Westford Academy 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.37 602 H Waltham 18-14 4 8 -- -4.13 401 A Woburn Memorial 7- 6 1 3 - -2.56OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 H Braintree 17- 4 13 4 ++ 5.94 510 A Walpole 13-15 -2 -6 ++ 4.18 523 A Bishop Fenwick, MA 17-10 7 2 ++ 4.55 408 H Natick 11- 3 8 4 + 3.54 415 H Austin Prep, MA 11- 5 6 3 + 2.35 426 H Newton North 9- 3 6 2 + 3.80/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.56 Local Power Rank........... 25 Local SOS Rating......... 62.44 Local SOS Rank............. 21 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 29 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 8 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 38 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.3