Ellis School                  4 - 7


 
                                     Region = PA    WP D2-4          
   Nickname = A Tigers               Coach  =   Emily Deering         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   86.1931534    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H North Hills            PA    WP D2-4 (12- 5, 86.2)    11-14   
 407 H Vincentian Academy     PA    WP D2-4 ( 1-12, 61.7)    20- 4   
 412 A Shaler Area            PA    WP D2-4 (12- 6, 85.6)    12-13   
 414 A Hampton Township       PA    WP D2-4 (13- 7, 87.0)    10-14   
 421 H Winchester Thurston    PA    WP D2-4 ( 5- 8, 71.1)    15- 2   
 426 A North Hills            PA    WP D2-4 (12- 5, 86.2)    13-14   
 428 A Vincentian Academy     PA    WP D2-4 ( 1-12, 61.7)    20- 5   
 503 H Shaler Area            PA    WP D2-4 (12- 6, 85.6)     6-10   
 505 H Hampton Township       PA    WP D2-4 (13- 7, 87.0)     9-12   
 510 A Winchester Thurston    PA    WP D2-4 ( 5- 8, 71.1)    24- 8   
 512 H Bethel Park            PA    WP D2-2 ( 9- 6, 83.8)    11-13   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H North Hills            11-14      -3    -4           1.44
   407 H Vincentian Academy     20- 4      16    20           0.00
   412 A Shaler Area            12-13      -1    -5    ++     4.12
   414 A Hampton Township       10-14      -4    -6    +      2.58
   421 H Winchester Thurston    15- 2      13    10           0.00
   426 A North Hills            13-14      -1    -5    ++     4.70
   428 A Vincentian Academy     20- 5      15    18           0.00
   503 H Shaler Area             6-10      -4    -3          -0.13
   505 H Hampton Township        9-12      -3    -5    +      2.33
   510 A Winchester Thurston    24- 8      16     9           0.68
   512 H Bethel Park            11-13      -2    -2           0.11


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Shaler Area            12-13      -1    -5    ++     4.12
   426 A North Hills            13-14      -1    -5    ++     4.70
   414 A Hampton Township       10-14      -4    -6    +      2.58
   505 H Hampton Township        9-12      -3    -5    +      2.33




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.09 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.75 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7


  
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