Region = PA    LLL              
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Mathew Ealy           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.9627991    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Hershey                PA    Mid PA  (10- 8, 82.8)     7-12   
 329 H Warwick, PA            PA    LLL     ( 3- 9, 74.2)    10- 7   
 401 H Lancaster Cath-CDS     PA    LLL     (13- 5, 89.4)     6-14   
 402 H Trinity, PA            PA    Mid PA  ( 3-10, 71.7)    13-10   
 405 A Hempfield, Landisville PA    LLL     (13- 6, 89.2)     5-17   
 408 H Ephrata                PA    LLL     ( 3-10, 73.2)    10- 7   
 411 A Carlisle Area          PA    Mid PA  (10- 6, 81.7)    12-13   
 413 A Conestoga Valley       PA    LLL     ( 0-15, 63.8)    13- 6   
 415 H York Catholic          PA    York    (19- 3, 96.7)     3-19   
 419 A Manheim Township       PA    LLL     (16- 8, 98.2)     1-21   
 421 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LLL     (10- 7, 85.2)     9- 7   
 425 H Northern York          PA    Mid PA  ( 7-12, 71.7)    14- 7   
 426 H Cedar Crest            PA    LLL     ( 2-10, 74.8)    15- 7   
 429 H Cocalico               PA    LLL     ( 7- 9, 81.0)    10- 7   
 503 A Penn Manor             PA    LLL     (10- 7, 84.2)    13-12   
 509 A Garden Spot            PA    LLL     ( 2-14, 67.0)    17- 3   
 510 N Manheim Township       PA    LLL     (16- 8, 98.2)     6-24   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Hershey                 7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.04
   329 H Warwick, PA            10- 7       3     7    --    -4.92
   401 H Lancaster Cath-CDS      6-14      -8    -7          -0.73
   402 H Trinity, PA            13-10       3    10    ---   -7.00
   405 A Hempfield, Landisville  5-17     -12    -9          -0.64
   408 H Ephrata                10- 7       3     8    --    -5.96
   411 A Carlisle Area          12-13      -1    -1           0.88
   413 A Conestoga Valley       13- 6       7    16    -     -3.00
   415 H York Catholic           3-19     -16   -14           0.00
   419 A Manheim Township        1-21     -20   -18           0.00
   421 H Lampeter-Strasburg      9- 7       2    -3    ++     5.11
   425 H Northern York          14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00
   426 H Cedar Crest            15- 7       8     7           0.64
   429 H Cocalico               10- 7       3     1           1.83
   503 A Penn Manor             13-12       1    -4    ++     5.38
   509 A Garden Spot            17- 3      14    12           0.00
   510 N Manheim Township        6-24     -18   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Trinity, PA            13-10       3    10    ---   -7.00
   329 H Warwick, PA            10- 7       3     7    --    -4.92
   408 H Ephrata                10- 7       3     8    --    -5.96
   325 A Hershey                 7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.04
   413 A Conestoga Valley       13- 6       7    16    -     -3.00
   425 H Northern York          14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Lampeter-Strasburg      9- 7       2    -3    ++     5.11
   503 A Penn Manor             13-12       1    -4    ++     5.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.98 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.50 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/