Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Sal Piscitelli        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.5156097    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 83.8)     4-10   
 323 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 84.5)     4- 8   
 329 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 5, 93.6)     8-17   
 330 H Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 70.5)    11- 4   
 405 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 84.2)     5-16   
 408 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 75.6)    11- 6   
 413 A Copiague               NY B  Sec 11  ( 0-14, 61.1)    14- 0   
 414 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 81.5)    12-13   
 416 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 3, 94.5)     1-11   
 420 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 84.8)     6-13   
 426 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 90.1)     5-18   
 428 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 8, 80.2)     8- 6   
 502 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 80.3)    11-12   
 505 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 96.2)     4-16   
 506 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 71.6)    13- 3   
 509 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-11, 69.0)    12- 6   
 512 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 71.6)    15- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Half Hollow Hills       4-10      -6    -4          -1.26
   323 H Commack                 4- 8      -4    -5           1.36
   329 H West Islip              8-17      -9   -14           1.00
   330 H Brentwood, NY          11- 4       7     8          -1.59
   405 A Sachem East             5-16     -11    -5    --    -4.47
   408 A William Floyd          11- 6       5     3           1.96
   413 A Copiague               14- 0      14    17           0.00
   414 H North Babylon          12-13      -1    -2           1.40
   416 H Smithtown West          1-11     -10   -15           0.00
   420 H Sachem North            6-13      -7    -5          -1.32
   426 H Smithtown East          5-18     -13   -10           0.00
   428 A Patchogue-Medford       8- 6       2    -1    +      3.57
   502 A Riverhead              11-12      -1    -1           0.66
   505 A Middle Country          4-16     -12   -17           0.00
   506 A Lindenhurst            13- 3      10     7    +      2.99
   509 H Walt Whitman, NY       12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   512 A Lindenhurst            15- 9       6     7          -1.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Sachem East             5-16     -11    -5    --    -4.47
   509 H Walt Whitman, NY       12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Patchogue-Medford       8- 6       2    -1    +      3.57
   506 A Lindenhurst            13- 3      10     7    +      2.99
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.87 Local Power Rank...........    33
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.16 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    35
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.3
/