Region = MD    3A-2A            
   Nickname = D Mustangs             Coach  =   Jaclyn Parker         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.2056732    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A Maryvale Prep          MD    IAAM A  ( 4-11, 77.0)    13-14   
 324 N Broadneck              MD    4A-3A   (10- 5, 90.3)     5-10   
 326 N Arundel                MD    4A-3A   (10- 6, 84.8)     7- 9   
 405 H Havre De Grace         MD    2A-1A   ( 5- 8, 68.7)    16- 2   
 407 A Harford Tech           MD    2A-1A   ( 6- 7, 71.9)    19- 3   
 412 H North Harford          MD    3A-2A   ( 9- 8, 79.3)    12-11   
 413 A Patterson Mill         MD    2A-1A   ( 6-10, 76.2)    15- 9   
 415 H Winters Mill           MD    2A-1A   ( 7- 9, 86.7)     8-11   
 419 A Fallston               MD    2A-1A   (12- 7, 84.2)     9- 6   
 421 H Bel Air                MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 5, 85.9)     9- 8   
 425 A John Carroll, MD       MD    IAAM A  (10- 8, 86.5)     9-10   
 430 H Glenelg HS             MD    3A-2A   (17- 3, 94.3)     8- 9   
 503 A Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD    IAAM A  (13- 7, 87.1)     5-16   
 504 H Edgewood, MD           MD    3A-2A   ( 4- 8, 65.7)    22- 1   
 511 H Aberdeen               MD    3A-2A   ( 1-11, 54.3)    23- 0   
 513 A Rising Sun             MD    2A-1A   ( 8- 6, 66.5)    24- 4   
 516 H North Harford          MD    3A-2A   ( 9- 8, 79.3)    15- 8   
 518 A Hereford               MD    3A-2A   (15- 2, 89.6)    11-10 3o
 520 N Glenelg HS             MD    3A-2A   (17- 3, 94.3)     3-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Maryvale Prep          13-14      -1     7          n/a  
   324 N Broadneck               5-10      -5    -5           0.14
   326 N Arundel                 7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.45
   405 H Havre De Grace         16- 2      14    17           0.00
   407 A Harford Tech           19- 3      16    12           0.00
   412 H North Harford          12-11       1     6    --    -5.48
   413 A Patterson Mill         15- 9       6     8    -     -2.38
   415 H Winters Mill            8-11      -3     0    -     -2.14
   419 A Fallston                9- 6       3     0    +      2.56
   421 H Bel Air                 9- 8       1     0           1.14
   425 A John Carroll, MD        9-10      -1    -1          n/a  
   430 H Glenelg HS              8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.53
   503 A Notre Dame Prep, MD     5-16     -11    -2          n/a  
   504 H Edgewood, MD           22- 1      21    20           0.00
   511 H Aberdeen               23- 0      23    31           0.00
   513 A Rising Sun             24- 4      20    18           0.00
   516 H North Harford          15- 8       7     6           0.52
   518 A Hereford               11-10 3o    1    -4    ++     5.97
   520 N Glenelg HS              3-15     -12    -9          -0.89

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Maryvale Prep          13-14      -1     7    ---        
   503 A Notre Dame Prep, MD     5-16     -11    -2    ---        
   412 H North Harford          12-11       1     6    --    -5.48
   326 N Arundel                 7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.45
   413 A Patterson Mill         15- 9       6     8    -     -2.38
   415 H Winters Mill            8-11      -3     0    -     -2.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Glenelg HS              8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.53
   518 A Hereford               11-10 3o    1    -4    ++     5.97
   419 A Fallston                9- 6       3     0    +      2.56
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.21 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.30 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/