Conf =  A1                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Northstar            Coach  =   Lloyd Hamilton        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.1616364    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H South Jefferson        NY C  Sec 3   (14- 5, 90.1)    11-10  o
 331 H Marcellus              NY C  Sec 3   (15- 5, 91.6)    18- 8   
 405 H Auburn                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 6-11, 75.6)    20- 2   
 409 A Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (11- 8, 90.0)    13- 6   
 412 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 84.9)    13- 5   
 414 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 80.2)    15- 6   
 416 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (18- 3, 99.9)     7-10   
 419 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (15- 2, 97.8)     5- 9   
 421 H Skaneateles            NY C  Sec 3   (13- 8, 91.6)     9-11   
 423 H Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (12- 6, 92.3)    11- 9   
 430 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 84.9)    13-10   
 505 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (15- 2, 97.8)     5- 9   
 506 A Auburn                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 6-11, 75.6)    19- 1   
 510 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (12- 6, 92.3)     9- 7   
 514 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (12- 9, 90.6)     6- 9   
 517 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 80.2)    16- 7   
 524 H Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 70.1)    23- 0   
 526 N West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (15- 2, 97.8)    10- 8   
 531 N Christian Brothers, NY NY A  Sec 3   (21- 0, 99.9)     5-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H South Jefferson        11-10  o    1     4    -     -3.27
   331 H Marcellus              18- 8      10     2    +++    7.18
   405 H Auburn                 20- 2      18    18           0.00
   409 A Webster Thomas         13- 6       7     3          n/a  
   412 A Baldwinsville          13- 5       8     8          -0.08
   414 A Liverpool              15- 6       9    12          -1.00
   416 A Pittsford               7-10      -3    -6          n/a  
   419 A West Genesee            5- 9      -4    -4           0.84
   421 H Skaneateles             9-11      -2     2    --    -4.79
   423 H Fayetteville-Manlius   11- 9       2     2          -0.12
   430 H Baldwinsville          13-10       3     9    ---   -6.53
   505 H West Genesee            5- 9      -4    -3          -0.61
   506 A Auburn                 19- 1      18    17           0.00
   510 A Fayetteville-Manlius    9- 7       2     0           1.34
   514 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      6- 9      -3     2          n/a  
   517 H Liverpool              16- 7       9    14          -1.00
   524 H Rome Free Academy      23- 0      23    24           0.00
   526 N West Genesee           10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.12
   531 N Christian Brothers, NY  5-11      -6    -6           0.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Baldwinsville          13-10       3     9    ---   -6.53
   421 H Skaneateles             9-11      -2     2    --    -4.79
   514 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      6- 9      -3     2    --         
   326 H South Jefferson        11-10  o    1     4    -     -3.27

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Marcellus              18- 8      10     2    +++    7.18
   526 N West Genesee           10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.12
   409 A Webster Thomas         13- 6       7     3    +          
   416 A Pittsford               7-10      -3    -6    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.69 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.17 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.180.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
/