Conf =  B1                        Region = NY C  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Bears                Coach  =   Dave Baran            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.2645950    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Clinton, NY            NY C  Sec 3   ( 7- 9, 70.9)     6- 8   
 329 H Homer                  NY C  Sec 3   (11- 7, 81.0)     7- 9   
 401 H Central Square         NY B  Sec 3   (10- 6, 78.4)     6-10   
 406 H Fulton                 NY B  Sec 3   (16- 2, 88.1)     8-13   
 411 A Oswego                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 3-14, 70.3)    11- 9   
 414 H Jamesville-DeWitt      NY B  Sec 3   (13- 6, 86.5)     5-17   
 416 A Whitesboro             NY B  Sec 3   (10- 6, 74.8)    16-11   
 420 A East Syracuse-Minoa    NY B  Sec 3   ( 2-14, 69.1)    11- 8   
 422 H Cortland               NY C  Sec 3   ( 6-11, 74.7)    10-11 2o
 426 A Syracuse               NY A  Sec 3   ( 3-13, 69.1)    14- 7   
 428 A Mexico                 NY C  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 67.3)    10- 7   
 502 A Cortland               NY C  Sec 3   ( 6-11, 74.7)     8- 7   
 507 H Whitesboro             NY B  Sec 3   (10- 6, 74.8)    17-10   
 509 A Tully                  NY C  Sec 3   (11- 6, 84.1)     6- 9   
 512 A Clinton, NY            NY C  Sec 3   ( 7- 9, 70.9)    14- 6   
 514 A Christian Brothers, NY NY A  Sec 3   (21- 0, 99.9)     4-21   
 521 A Homer                  NY C  Sec 3   (11- 7, 81.0)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Clinton, NY             6- 8      -2     6    ---   -8.43
   329 H Homer                   7- 9      -2    -3           1.68
   401 H Central Square          6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.91
   406 H Fulton                  8-13      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   411 A Oswego                 11- 9       2     5    -     -3.55
   414 H Jamesville-DeWitt       5-17     -12    -9          -0.81
   416 A Whitesboro             16-11       5     1    +      3.95
   420 A East Syracuse-Minoa    11- 8       3     6    -     -3.77
   422 H Cortland               10-11 2o   -1     2    -     -3.63
   426 A Syracuse               14- 7       7     6           0.26
   428 A Mexico                 10- 7       3     8    --    -5.60
   502 A Cortland                8- 7       1     1          -0.17
   507 H Whitesboro             17-10       7     2    ++     4.50
   509 A Tully                   6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.24
   512 A Clinton, NY            14- 6       8     4    +      3.02
   514 A Christian Brothers, NY  4-21     -17   -24           0.00
   521 A Homer                   6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Clinton, NY             6- 8      -2     6    ---   -8.43
   428 A Mexico                 10- 7       3     8    --    -5.60
   401 H Central Square          6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.91
   411 A Oswego                 11- 9       2     5    -     -3.55
   420 A East Syracuse-Minoa    11- 8       3     6    -     -3.77
   422 H Cortland               10-11 2o   -1     2    -     -3.63

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Fulton                  8-13      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   507 H Whitesboro             17-10       7     2    ++     4.50
   509 A Tully                   6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.24
   521 A Homer                   6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.13
   416 A Whitesboro             16-11       5     1    +      3.95
   512 A Clinton, NY            14- 6       8     4    +      3.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.59 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.85 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/