Conf =  MC                        Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Barons               Coach  =   Richard Curtis        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.8021851    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    (20- 4, 94.1)     6-19   
 331 A George Mason           VA 4A North   (14- 6, 87.0)    14- 4   
 401 A Georgetown Visitation  DC    ISL AA  (16- 7, 90.9)     4-14   
 412 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (18- 3, 99.9)     7- 8  o
 414 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   ( 7- 9, 88.6)    10- 5   
 420 H Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (11- 8, 90.0)     5- 3   
 426 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 86.3)     9- 7   
 428 A Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 83.4)    13- 4   
 430 A Our Lady of Mercy, Roc NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 77.8)    22- 5   
 504 A Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 86.7)     7- 4   
 506 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (14- 4, 93.6)    11-12  o
 510 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (11- 7, 90.0)    12-11   
 512 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (12- 9, 93.4)     7-17   
 514 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (11- 7, 89.8)     5- 8   
 516 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (12- 9, 90.6)     6- 5   
 518 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 84.9)     8- 9   
 524 H Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 86.7)    11- 4   
 527 N Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (12- 9, 93.4)     9-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Bishop Ireton           6-19     -13    -3          n/a  
   331 A George Mason           14- 4      10     4          n/a  
   401 A Georgetown Visitation   4-14     -10     0          n/a  
   412 H Pittsford               7- 8  o   -1    -7    +++    6.78
   414 A Penfield               10- 5       5     2    +      2.36
   420 H Webster Thomas          5- 3       2     2          -0.14
   426 A Webster Schroeder       9- 7       2     4    -     -2.98
   428 A Churchville-Chili      13- 4       9     7           1.13
   430 A Our Lady of Mercy, Roc 22- 5      17    13           0.00
   504 A Canandaigua Academy     7- 4       3     4          -1.53
   506 H Fairport               11-12  o   -1    -1           0.46
   510 A Rush-Henrietta         12-11       1     1          -0.26
   512 H Victor                  7-17     -10    -1    ---   -8.75
   514 H Irondequoit             5- 8      -3     2    --    -5.37
   516 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      6- 5       1     1          -0.52
   518 A Baldwinsville           8- 9      -1     6          n/a  
   524 H Canandaigua Academy    11- 4       7     5           1.60
   527 N Victor                  9-11      -2    -1          -0.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Bishop Ireton           6-19     -13    -3    ---        
   401 A Georgetown Visitation   4-14     -10     0    ---        
   512 H Victor                  7-17     -10    -1    ---   -8.75
   518 A Baldwinsville           8- 9      -1     6    ---        
   514 H Irondequoit             5- 8      -3     2    --    -5.37
   426 A Webster Schroeder       9- 7       2     4    -     -2.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Pittsford               7- 8  o   -1    -7    +++    6.78
   331 A George Mason           14- 4      10     4    ++         
   414 A Penfield               10- 5       5     2    +      2.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.69 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.70 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.120.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/