Montgomery Blair              8 - 5


 
                                     Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Blazers              Coach  =   Mike Horne            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   65.8286438    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Blake, MD              MD    4A-3A   ( 1-10, 58.1)     4- 3   
 323 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase   MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 6, 69.1)     2-15   
 404 H Rockville              MD    3A-2A   ( 1-20, 55.6)    12-10   
 406 A Wootton                MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 5, 74.2)     4-17   
 409 H Magruder               MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 7, 61.1)     9- 7   
 412 A Wheaton, MD            MD    3A-2A   ( 2- 6, 51.2)    15- 0   
 415 H Kennedy, MD            MD    4A-3A   ( 0- 8, 45.2)    14- 3   
 418 A Northwood, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 2- 6, 52.5)    12- 4   
 420 H Einstein               MD    4A-3A   ( 1- 8, 46.6)    12- 3   
 427 A Whitman, MD            MD    4A-3A   (11- 3, 80.6)     2-18   
 502 H Springbrook            MD    4A-3A   ( 5- 5, 62.8)     9-10   
 513 H Wheaton, MD            MD    3A-2A   ( 2- 6, 51.2)    10- 7   
 516 H Magruder               MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 7, 61.1)    13-16   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Blake, MD               4- 3       1     4    -     -3.85
   323 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase    2-15     -13    -7    -     -2.67
   404 H Rockville              12-10       2     7    --    -5.32
   406 A Wootton                 4-17     -13   -12           0.00
   409 H Magruder                9- 7       2     1           0.17
   412 A Wheaton, MD            15- 0      15    10           0.00
   415 H Kennedy, MD            14- 3      11    17           0.00
   418 A Northwood, MD          12- 4       8     9          -1.27
   420 H Einstein               12- 3       9    16          -1.00
   427 A Whitman, MD             2-18     -16   -18           0.00
   502 H Springbrook             9-10      -1     0          -1.12
   513 H Wheaton, MD            10- 7       3    11    ---   -7.00
   516 H Magruder               13-16      -3     1    --    -4.83


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Wheaton, MD            10- 7       3    11    ---   -7.00
   404 H Rockville              12-10       2     7    --    -5.32
   516 H Magruder               13-16      -3     1    --    -4.83
   321 H Blake, MD               4- 3       1     4    -     -3.85
   323 A Bethesda-Chevy Chase    2-15     -13    -7    -     -2.67


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 62.33 Local Power Rank...........   104
 Local SOS Rating......... 28.44 Local SOS Rank.............   125
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    96
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    76
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    56
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3


  
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