Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Teresa Hayes          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.8954010    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Hoosick Falls          NY C  Sec 2   ( 0- 7, 63.7)    13- 8   
 406 A Saratoga Springs, NY   NY A  Sec 2   ( 6- 8, 85.7)  8
 407 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (14- 3, 93.4)     1-12   
 409 H Niskayuna              NY B  Sec 2   (16- 3, 99.9)     0-19   
 411 A Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (10- 8, 90.7)     2-20   
 413 A Holy Names Acad, NY    NY C  Sec 2   ( 4- 4, 72.9)    14-13   
 418 H Averill Park           NY B  Sec 2   ( 6- 9, 80.1)     5-16   
 419 A Burnt Hills-Ballston L NY B  Sec 2   (13- 5, 93.1)     2-16   
 421 H Ballston Spa           NY B  Sec 2   ( 5- 9, 75.5)     9-17   
 425 A Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-12, 61.8)    15- 1   
 502 A Columbia, NY           NY B  Sec 2   ( 5- 7, 82.3)  9
 504 H Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 4-12, 74.9)     8-11   
 509 H Holy Names Acad, NY    NY C  Sec 2   ( 4- 4, 72.9)   
 510 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 7- 7, 88.7)     1-20   
 512 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (13- 4, 94.5)     0-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Hoosick Falls          13- 8       5     8    -     -3.88
   407 H Shaker                  1-12     -11   -20           0.00
   409 H Niskayuna               0-19     -19   -27           0.00
   411 A Shenendehowa            2-20     -18   -19           0.00
   413 A Holy Names Acad, NY    14-13       1    -1    +      2.90
   418 H Averill Park            5-16     -11    -7    -     -2.48
   419 A Burnt Hills-Ballston L  2-16     -14   -22           0.00
   421 H Ballston Spa            9-17      -8    -2    --    -5.09
   425 A Schenectady            15- 1      14     9           0.86
   504 H Colonie                 8-11      -3    -2          -0.68
   510 A Bethlehem               1-20     -19   -17           0.00
   512 H Guilderland             0-15     -15   -21           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Ballston Spa            9-17      -8    -2    --    -5.09
   323 H Hoosick Falls          13- 8       5     8    -     -3.88
   418 H Averill Park            5-16     -11    -7    -     -2.48

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Holy Names Acad, NY    14-13       1    -1    +      2.90
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.79 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.20 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -12.3
/