Region = VA 5A South            
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Lauren Thraves        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.4152145    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Douglas Freeman        VA 5A South   (14- 6, 80.4)    12-14   
 317 H St. Catherine's, VA    VA Pr LIS     (12- 8, 84.3)     7- 9   
 323 A Salem, VA              VA 4A South   (14- 5, 77.3)    16- 6   
 325 A Western Albemarle      VA 4A South   (16- 4, 81.4)    12-11 2o
 414 A Covenant School        VA Pr LIS     ( 0-12, 64.9)    18- 8   
 419 A Monticello, VA         VA 4A South   (12- 6, 79.6)    13- 6   
 422 A St. Anne's-Belfield    VA Pr LIS     (17- 5, 91.6)     5-20   
 429 A Charlottesville        VA 4A South   ( 2-12, 58.3)    17- 0   
 503 H Fluvanna               VA 4A South   ( 4-10, 60.7)    16- 2   
 504 H Charlottesville        VA 4A South   ( 2-12, 58.3)    14- 2   
 510 H Monticello, VA         VA 4A South   (12- 6, 79.6)    12-10   
 513 H Western Albemarle      VA 4A South   (16- 4, 81.4)    10-13   
 516 A Powhatan               VA 4A South   ( 1-14, 53.5)    14- 0   
 519 H Potomac HS             VA 5A South   ( 3-10, 57.5)    15- 3   
 523 H North Stafford         VA 5A South   ( 1-10, 61.3)    15- 2   
 526 A Massaponax             VA 5A South   (16- 2, 79.6)    15- 9   
 530 H Deep Run               VA 5A South   (14- 3, 81.9)    13-12  o
 603 A Douglas Freeman        VA 5A South   (14- 6, 80.4)    10- 9  o
 607 H George Marshall        VA 5A North   (16- 4, 85.9)     6-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Douglas Freeman        12-14      -2     0          -1.44
   317 H St. Catherine's, VA     7- 9      -2    -2           0.62
   323 A Salem, VA              16- 6      10     2    +++    7.48
   325 A Western Albemarle      12-11 2o    1    -1    +      2.54
   414 A Covenant School        18- 8      10    14           0.00
   419 A Monticello, VA         13- 6       7     0    +++    6.74
   422 A St. Anne's-Belfield     5-20     -15   -11           0.00
   429 A Charlottesville        17- 0      17    21           0.00
   503 H Fluvanna               16- 2      14    20           0.00
   504 H Charlottesville        14- 2      12    23           0.00
   510 H Monticello, VA         12-10       2     2          -0.14
   513 H Western Albemarle      10-13      -3     0    -     -3.34
   516 A Powhatan               14- 0      14    26           0.00
   519 H Potomac HS             15- 3      12    24           0.00
   523 H North Stafford         15- 2      13    20           0.00
   526 A Massaponax             15- 9       6     0    ++     5.82
   530 H Deep Run               13-12  o    1     0           1.23
   603 A Douglas Freeman        10- 9  o    1     0           1.56
   607 H George Marshall         6-12      -6    -4          -1.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Western Albemarle      10-13      -3     0    -     -3.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Salem, VA              16- 6      10     2    +++    7.48
   419 A Monticello, VA         13- 6       7     0    +++    6.74
   526 A Massaponax             15- 9       6     0    ++     5.82
   325 A Western Albemarle      12-11 2o    1    -1    +      2.54
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.75 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.52 Local SOS Rank.............    52
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/