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Region = MA East D1 Nickname = A Colonials Coach = Scott BironGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.8816681 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 331 H Newton South MA East D1 (11- 8, 79.6) 20- 5 406 H Masconomet MA No D1 (17- 5, 87.4) 13- 8 408 A Concord-Carlisle MA East D1 (16- 6, 90.0) 10- 7 412 H Westford Academy MA East D1 (12- 9, 85.5) 15-11 414 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA MA East D1 (15- 4, 93.6) 4-12 421 H Newton North MA East D1 (11- 9, 85.1) 10- 9 422 A Lexington HS MA East D1 ( 7-12, 73.6) 19- 9 425 H Wayland MA East D2 (16- 6, 88.1) 15-10 427 A Cambridge R-L MA East D1 ( 6-11, 68.7) 16- 4 429 H Boston Latin School MA No D1 ( 3-13, 65.8) 18- 2 502 H Exeter Area HS, NH NH DI (10- 9, 89.4) 18- 8 503 A Weston, MA MA East D2 ( 9-10, 79.1) 15-10 505 H Concord-Carlisle MA East D1 (16- 6, 90.0) 6-12 510 A Westford Academy MA East D1 (12- 9, 85.5) 7- 8 512 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA MA East D1 (15- 4, 93.6) 4-15 516 H Wellesley HS MA So D1 (15- 5, 90.1) 5-16 519 A Wayland MA East D2 (16- 6, 88.1) 10-13 525 A Waltham MA East D1 ( 9-10, 79.1) 16-10 531 H Newton South MA East D1 (11- 8, 79.6) 21- 6 602 H Concord-Carlisle MA East D1 (16- 6, 90.0) 13-12 3o 607 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA MA East D1 (15- 4, 93.6) 9- 8 609 A Franklin, MA MA East D1 (19- 5, 91.2) 6- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 H Newton South 20- 5 15 9 0.74 406 H Masconomet 13- 8 5 1 + 3.52 408 A Concord-Carlisle 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.56 412 H Westford Academy 15-11 4 3 0.63 414 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA 4-12 -8 -6 -1.84 421 H Newton North 10- 9 1 3 - -2.76 422 A Lexington HS 19- 9 10 13 0.00 425 H Wayland 15-10 5 0 ++ 4.26 427 A Cambridge R-L 16- 4 12 18 0.00 429 H Boston Latin School 18- 2 16 22 0.00 502 H Exeter Area HS, NH 18- 8 10 0 n/a 503 A Weston, MA 15-10 5 8 - -3.33 505 H Concord-Carlisle 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.87 510 A Westford Academy 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.94 512 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA 4-15 -11 -4 -- -5.27 516 H Wellesley HS 5-16 -11 -1 --- -8.79 519 A Wayland 10-13 -3 0 - -2.32 525 A Waltham 16-10 6 8 - -2.27 531 H Newton South 21- 6 15 9 0.74 602 H Concord-Carlisle 13-12 3o 1 -1 + 2.13 607 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA 9- 8 1 -6 +++ 7.16 609 A Franklin, MA 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.76UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 516 H Wellesley HS 5-16 -11 -1 --- -8.79 505 H Concord-Carlisle 6-12 -6 -1 -- -4.87 512 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA 4-15 -11 -4 -- -5.27 421 H Newton North 10- 9 1 3 - -2.76 503 A Weston, MA 15-10 5 8 - -3.33 510 A Westford Academy 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.94 519 A Wayland 10-13 -3 0 - -2.32 525 A Waltham 16-10 6 8 - -2.27OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 H Exeter Area HS, NH 18- 8 10 0 +++ 607 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA 9- 8 1 -6 +++ 7.16 408 A Concord-Carlisle 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.56 425 H Wayland 15-10 5 0 ++ 4.26 406 H Masconomet 13- 8 5 1 + 3.52 602 H Concord-Carlisle 13-12 3o 1 -1 + 2.13 609 A Franklin, MA 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.76/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.13 Local Power Rank........... 17 Local SOS Rating......... 67.29 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 18 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 14 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 20 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3