Region = MA    East D1          
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Scott Biron           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.8816681    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Newton South           MA    East D1 (11- 8, 79.6)    20- 5   
 406 H Masconomet             MA    No D1   (17- 5, 87.4)    13- 8   
 408 A Concord-Carlisle       MA    East D1 (16- 6, 90.0)    10- 7   
 412 H Westford Academy       MA    East D1 (12- 9, 85.5)    15-11   
 414 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA    MA    East D1 (15- 4, 93.6)     4-12   
 421 H Newton North           MA    East D1 (11- 9, 85.1)    10- 9   
 422 A Lexington HS           MA    East D1 ( 7-12, 73.6)    19- 9   
 425 H Wayland                MA    East D2 (16- 6, 88.1)    15-10   
 427 A Cambridge R-L          MA    East D1 ( 6-11, 68.7)    16- 4   
 429 H Boston Latin School    MA    No D1   ( 3-13, 65.8)    18- 2   
 502 H Exeter Area HS, NH     NH    DI      (10- 9, 89.4)    18- 8   
 503 A Weston, MA             MA    East D2 ( 9-10, 79.1)    15-10   
 505 H Concord-Carlisle       MA    East D1 (16- 6, 90.0)     6-12   
 510 A Westford Academy       MA    East D1 (12- 9, 85.5)     7- 8   
 512 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA    MA    East D1 (15- 4, 93.6)     4-15   
 516 H Wellesley HS           MA    So D1   (15- 5, 90.1)     5-16   
 519 A Wayland                MA    East D2 (16- 6, 88.1)    10-13   
 525 A Waltham                MA    East D1 ( 9-10, 79.1)    16-10   
 531 H Newton South           MA    East D1 (11- 8, 79.6)    21- 6   
 602 H Concord-Carlisle       MA    East D1 (16- 6, 90.0)    13-12 3o
 607 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA    MA    East D1 (15- 4, 93.6)     9- 8   
 609 A Franklin, MA           MA    East D1 (19- 5, 91.2)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Newton South           20- 5      15     9           0.74
   406 H Masconomet             13- 8       5     1    +      3.52
   408 A Concord-Carlisle       10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.56
   412 H Westford Academy       15-11       4     3           0.63
   414 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA     4-12      -8    -6          -1.84
   421 H Newton North           10- 9       1     3    -     -2.76
   422 A Lexington HS           19- 9      10    13           0.00
   425 H Wayland                15-10       5     0    ++     4.26
   427 A Cambridge R-L          16- 4      12    18           0.00
   429 H Boston Latin School    18- 2      16    22           0.00
   502 H Exeter Area HS, NH     18- 8      10     0          n/a  
   503 A Weston, MA             15-10       5     8    -     -3.33
   505 H Concord-Carlisle        6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.87
   510 A Westford Academy        7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.94
   512 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA     4-15     -11    -4    --    -5.27
   516 H Wellesley HS            5-16     -11    -1    ---   -8.79
   519 A Wayland                10-13      -3     0    -     -2.32
   525 A Waltham                16-10       6     8    -     -2.27
   531 H Newton South           21- 6      15     9           0.74
   602 H Concord-Carlisle       13-12 3o    1    -1    +      2.13
   607 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA     9- 8       1    -6    +++    7.16
   609 A Franklin, MA            6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.76

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Wellesley HS            5-16     -11    -1    ---   -8.79
   505 H Concord-Carlisle        6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.87
   512 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA     4-15     -11    -4    --    -5.27
   421 H Newton North           10- 9       1     3    -     -2.76
   503 A Weston, MA             15-10       5     8    -     -3.33
   510 A Westford Academy        7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.94
   519 A Wayland                10-13      -3     0    -     -2.32
   525 A Waltham                16-10       6     8    -     -2.27

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Exeter Area HS, NH     18- 8      10     0    +++        
   607 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA     9- 8       1    -6    +++    7.16
   408 A Concord-Carlisle       10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.56
   425 H Wayland                15-10       5     0    ++     4.26
   406 H Masconomet             13- 8       5     1    +      3.52
   602 H Concord-Carlisle       13-12 3o    1    -1    +      2.13
   609 A Franklin, MA            6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.76
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.13 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.29 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/