girls probabilites for 31
 
 

2014 girls MD-Public

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Severna Park 15 2 4 6 4 1 1 3 5 9.00 2 Hereford 17 1 6 19 2 3 2 2 7 4.00 3 Manchester Valle 18 1 5 10 1 2 4 1 7 4.00 4 Broadneck 13 3 3 5 6 4 7 5 16 9.00 5 Oakdale 16 3 13 21 7 10 3 8 21 1.00 6 Marriotts Ridge 17 2 1 7 3 5 15 4 24 37.00 7 Fallston 14 4 15 26 12 8 11 10 29 0.10 8 Towson HS 11 3 10 37 21 9 8 13 30 0.10 9 South River 8 7 12 1 19 11 5 18 34 4.00 10 Mt. Hebron 13 2 2 12 5 12 16 7 35 17.00 11 Stephen Decatur, 14 3 14 61 13 19 6 14 39 0.10 12 Century, MD 12 5 7 2 10 7 26 15 48 7.00 13 Leonardtown 14 3 22 74 17 18 14 17 49 0.10 14 C. M. Wright 13 5 9 18 9 6 37 9 52 5.00 15 Glenelg HS 12 4 11 27 16 24 12 19 55 2.00 16 Catonsville 10 8 20 13 26 16 29 23 68 0.10 17 North Harford 7 8 31 14 31 22 21 26 69 0.10 18 Calvert 12 3 44 95 23 28 22 25 75 0.10 19 Middletown, MD 10 6 19 36 35 33 9 34 76 0.10 20 Sherwood, MD 13 2 17 70 11 13 55 11 79 0.10 21 Damascus 10 5 48 71 47 26 10 44 80 0.10 22 Perry Hall 8 6 32 41 48 29 13 39 81 0.10 23 Winston Churchil 8 3 45 79 36 27 25 30 82 0.10 24 Poolesville 11 1 40 97 15 20 50 16 86 0.10 25 Liberty, MD 9 4 16 24 22 21 47 20 88 0.10 26 Walkersville 8 5 38 55 38 36 17 36 89 0.10 27 Bel Air 10 7 25 30 41 17 31 42 90 0.10 28 Dulaney 6 6 29 28 37 23 34 33 90 0.10 29 Walter Johnson 10 5 55 75 53 30 20 40 90 0.10 30 Whitman, MD 13 3 41 69 14 15 66 12 93 0.10 31 River Hill 11 5 18 15 18 25 53 22 100 0.10 32 Atholton 8 6 28 17 34 40 19 46 105 0.10 33 Westminster, MD 7 6 21 16 49 39 23 52 114 0.10 34 Centennial, MD 7 5 23 20 27 41 38 38 117 0.10 35 Chesapeake, Pasa 7 6 34 33 40 48 28 43 119 0.10 36 Southern, Anne A 10 5 24 39 29 35 61 29 125 0.10 37 Queen Anne's Cou 16 3 8 43 8 14 117 6 137 1.00 38 Harford Tech 5 6 51 52 59 45 40 53 138 0.10 39 Northern, Calver 9 4 61 91 43 34 64 45 143 0.10 40 Huntingtown 12 4 33 88 28 31 86 27 144 0.10 41 Quince Orchard 6 6 71 78 76 44 30 70 144 0.10 42 Loch Raven 8 8 52 53 63 42 48 56 146 0.10 43 North Hagerstown 12 3 30 81 20 55 72 21 148 0.10 44 Kenwood 7 3 72 110 32 38 90 28 156 0.10 45 North Carroll 6 8 47 34 64 51 39 66 156 0.10 46 Wootton 8 8 67 67 81 37 49 71 157 0.10 47 Boonsboro 7 3 63 93 30 47 82 31 160 0.10 48 Parkside 10 4 36 66 25 57 71 32 160 0.10 49 Old Mill 8 8 43 47 67 66 27 68 161 0.10 50 Easton, MD 4 8 57 3 42 32 83 47 162 0.10 51 Tuscarora, MD 7 6 39 50 55 59 43 61 163 0.10 52 Sparrows Point 5 7 68 57 77 58 35 74 167 0.10 53 Winters Mill 4 9 37 8 80 50 18 99 167 0.10 54 Annapolis, MD 9 5 27 45 33 46 87 35 168 0.10 55 Watkins Mill 8 4 65 105 45 53 74 41 168 0.10 56 Arundel 6 7 35 31 46 61 62 49 172 0.10 57 City College 7 2 79 129 24 43 105 24 172 0.10 58 Clarksburg 6 6 81 85 75 56 51 67 174 0.10 59 Edgewood, MD 10 5 58 84 39 62 76 37 175 0.10 60 Patterson Mill 7 9 46 42 83 54 44 77 175 0.10 61 Franklin, MD 6 9 62 48 98 49 32 95 176 0.10 62 South Carroll 6 7 49 44 58 68 52 59 179 0.10 63 Parkville 8 5 88 117 54 63 73 54 190 0.10 64 La Plata 7 6 77 106 71 64 57 75 196 0.10 65 Pikesville 10 5 53 125 52 60 81 55 196 0.10 66 Eastern Technica 5 9 76 59 105 65 33 100 198 0.10 67 Patuxent 7 7 83 102 85 69 46 86 201 0.10 68 Richard Montgome 8 5 60 114 57 67 85 51 203 0.10 69 Howard 9 9 26 23 62 52 80 72 204 0.10 70 Bethesda-Chevy C 2 8 89 68 97 72 54 85 211 0.10 71 Havre De Grace 4 7 70 60 82 71 60 80 211 0.10 72 Francis Scott Ke 4 9 74 40 87 78 42 92 212 0.10 73 Kent Island 8 6 42 64 51 75 79 58 212 0.10 74 Reservoir 5 10 54 32 109 77 24 118 219 0.10 75 North Point 6 7 84 92 90 74 58 91 223 0.10 76 Great Mills 6 7 98 103 89 76 59 90 225 0.10 77 Patapsco 9 4 69 116 44 70 110 48 228 0.10 78 Carver A-T, Balt 6 5 93 119 60 73 96 64 233 0.10 79 Urbana 4 8 64 49 96 79 56 98 233 0.10 80 Montgomery Blair 8 6 75 118 70 83 88 63 234 0.10 81 Rockville 6 7 82 113 92 81 69 87 237 0.10 82 North East, Ceci 6 5 80 111 56 80 107 57 244 0.10 83 Northeast, MD 4 11 59 38 121 87 36 122 245 0.10 84 Long Reach 0 9 92 4 107 91 45 116 252 0.10 85 Hammond 1 11 101 11 124 86 41 127 254 0.10 86 Owings Mills 7 6 108 123 72 82 97 76 255 0.10 87 Perryville 6 6 87 112 69 88 98 69 255 0.10 88 Frederick 5 8 66 58 88 90 78 89 257 0.10 89 Thomas Stone 5 8 99 107 112 85 65 109 259 0.10 90 Kent County 4 6 50 63 68 97 94 73 264 0.10 91 Digital Harbor 3 5 105 120 61 95 108 62 265 0.10 92 Paint Branch 1 6 112 76 91 94 93 82 269 0.10 93 Gaithersburg 7 7 94 121 84 96 95 84 275 0.10 94 Polytechnic, Bal 1 3 120 127 50 113 115 50 278 0.10 95 Brunswick, MD 6 6 78 82 78 98 106 81 285 0.10 96 Seneca Valley, M 4 8 106 109 114 102 89 97 288 0.10 97 Cambridge-S Dorc 0 7 109 35 93 112 84 94 290 0.10 98 Springbrook 6 5 90 124 65 99 136 60 295 0.10 99 Oakland Mills 1 9 96 9 100 92 91 113 296 0.10 100 Elkton 5 5 86 126 66 104 129 65 298 0.10 101 Chopticon 3 10 107 104 126 106 68 125 299 0.10 102 Chesapeake, Balt 6 7 103 133 86 103 111 88 302 0.10 103 Wilde Lake 5 11 56 25 103 84 99 120 303 0.10 104 J.M. Bennett 1 9 95 29 115 89 103 114 306 0.10 105 Northwest, MD 1 8 115 77 118 93 102 112 307 0.10 106 Western, Baltimo 2 5 119 128 73 110 120 78 308 0.10 107 Dundalk 1 11 127 89 129 116 70 126 312 0.10 108 McDonough 2 10 116 99 127 109 75 128 312 0.10 109 North Caroline 2 9 91 51 95 105 112 96 313 0.10 110 Westlake, MD 1 12 131 101 136 122 63 136 321 0.10 111 Blake, MD 1 8 113 80 116 101 114 107 322 0.10 112 Wicomico (Wi-Hi) 0 8 117 22 102 100 113 110 323 0.10 113 Gov. Thomas John 1 12 102 56 133 123 67 134 324 0.10 114 Lansdowne 4 8 123 131 113 107 109 111 327 0.10 115 Rising Sun 2 7 100 83 101 108 119 102 329 0.10 116 Linganore 1 12 97 46 134 119 77 135 331 0.10 117 Aberdeen 3 8 110 96 110 114 116 103 333 0.10 118 Kennedy, MD 0 6 136 86 94 118 122 93 333 0.10 119 Western STES 3 9 122 132 123 111 101 123 335 0.10 120 Smithsburg 5 8 85 108 79 121 132 83 336 0.10 121 Woodlawn 2 5 124 134 74 129 130 79 338 0.10 122 Lackey 1 10 134 98 131 124 92 131 347 0.10 123 Einstein 1 7 125 90 106 117 126 105 348 0.10 124 Magruder 1 7 114 100 108 120 123 106 349 0.10 125 Catoctin 2 11 111 73 132 126 100 132 358 0.10 126 North County 6 9 73 65 120 115 127 121 363 0.10 127 South Hagerstown 0 12 128 72 135 128 104 133 365 0.10 128 Joppatowne 1 9 121 94 117 127 124 115 366 0.10 129 Overlea 1 8 135 130 119 131 121 117 369 0.10 130 Wheaton, MD 0 8 133 87 122 125 125 119 369 0.10 131 New Town 2 7 129 136 99 136 133 101 370 0.10 132 Bohemia Manor 1 9 132 122 104 135 135 104 374 0.10 133 Northwood, MD 0 7 126 115 111 133 134 108 375 0.10 134 Milford Mill 2 10 130 135 128 130 118 129 377 0.10 135 Meade 1 10 104 62 125 134 131 124 389 0.10 136 Glen Burnie 0 10 118 54 130 132 128 130 390 0.10
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