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Region = VA 6A North Nickname = A Patriots Coach = Crystal (Morgan) FraseGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.35159 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 316 H Centreville VA 6A North (15- 4, 95.8) 11-22 319 A Mt. Vernon VA 5A North ( 0-10, 58.1) 14- 0 323 H Thomas Edison, VA VA 5A North (10- 5, 78.1) 17- 5 326 H Hayfield VA 6A North ( 1-11, 63.0) 16- 1 409 A Falls Church VA 5A North ( 6- 7, 70.1) 15- 4 414 H McLean, VA VA 6A North (10- 5, 86.9) 19-12 422 A Annandale VA 6A North ( 8- 8, 81.5) 17-13 424 H J.E.B. Stuart VA 5A North ( 3- 9, 64.7) 14- 2 428 A Washington-Lee VA 6A North ( 9- 6, 80.0) 19-20 429 A Chantilly VA 6A North ( 6- 9, 81.0) 13-14 501 A Wakefield HS, VA VA 5A North ( 7- 8, 68.4) 14- 0 505 H Langley VA 6A North (13- 5, 91.3) 14-15 508 A Westfield, VA VA 6A North ( 9- 9, 86.7) 18-14 511 H T.C. Williams VA 6A North ( 3-10, 72.6) 18- 7 514 H Washington-Lee VA 6A North ( 9- 6, 80.0) 12- 8 520 A James Madison, VA VA 6A North (11- 3, 94.1) 3-26 526 A W.T. Woodson VA 6A North (13- 2, 93.3) 8-19PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 H Centreville 11-22 -11 -10 0.00 319 A Mt. Vernon 14- 0 14 25 0.00 323 H Thomas Edison, VA 17- 5 12 7 + 2.98 326 H Hayfield 16- 1 15 22 0.00 409 A Falls Church 15- 4 11 13 0.00 414 H McLean, VA 19-12 7 -1 +++ 8.69 422 A Annandale 17-13 4 1 + 2.27 424 H J.E.B. Stuart 14- 2 12 20 0.00 428 A Washington-Lee 19-20 -1 3 -- -4.24 429 A Chantilly 13-14 -1 2 - -3.20 501 A Wakefield HS, VA 14- 0 14 14 0.00 505 H Langley 14-15 -1 -6 ++ 5.10 508 A Westfield, VA 18-14 4 -3 +++ 7.45 511 H T.C. Williams 18- 7 11 12 0.00 514 H Washington-Lee 12- 8 4 5 -1.19 520 A James Madison, VA 3-26 -23 -10 0.00 526 A W.T. Woodson 8-19 -11 -10 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 A Washington-Lee 19-20 -1 3 -- -4.24 429 A Chantilly 13-14 -1 2 - -3.20OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 H McLean, VA 19-12 7 -1 +++ 8.69 508 A Westfield, VA 18-14 4 -3 +++ 7.45 505 H Langley 14-15 -1 -6 ++ 5.10 323 H Thomas Edison, VA 17- 5 12 7 + 2.98 422 A Annandale 17-13 4 1 + 2.27/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 84.19 Local Power Rank........... 20 Local SOS Rating......... 57.81 Local SOS Rank............. 28 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 33 Championship Probability . 0.0 Championship Rank ....... 135 Local Quality Win Rating. 0.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 26 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -15.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -11.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -10.0