Region = VA 6A North            
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Crystal (Morgan) Frase

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 87.35159

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 H Centreville            VA 6A North   (15- 4, 95.8)    11-22   
 319 A Mt. Vernon             VA 5A North   ( 0-10, 58.1)    14- 0   
 323 H Thomas Edison, VA      VA 5A North   (10- 5, 78.1)    17- 5   
 326 H Hayfield               VA 6A North   ( 1-11, 63.0)    16- 1   
 409 A Falls Church           VA 5A North   ( 6- 7, 70.1)    15- 4   
 414 H McLean, VA             VA 6A North   (10- 5, 86.9)    19-12   
 422 A Annandale              VA 6A North   ( 8- 8, 81.5)    17-13   
 424 H J.E.B. Stuart          VA 5A North   ( 3- 9, 64.7)    14- 2   
 428 A Washington-Lee         VA 6A North   ( 9- 6, 80.0)    19-20   
 429 A Chantilly              VA 6A North   ( 6- 9, 81.0)    13-14   
 501 A Wakefield HS, VA       VA 5A North   ( 7- 8, 68.4)    14- 0   
 505 H Langley                VA 6A North   (13- 5, 91.3)    14-15   
 508 A Westfield, VA          VA 6A North   ( 9- 9, 86.7)    18-14   
 511 H T.C. Williams          VA 6A North   ( 3-10, 72.6)    18- 7   
 514 H Washington-Lee         VA 6A North   ( 9- 6, 80.0)    12- 8   
 520 A James Madison, VA      VA 6A North   (11- 3, 94.1)     3-26   
 526 A W.T. Woodson           VA 6A North   (13- 2, 93.3)     8-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Centreville            11-22     -11   -10           0.00
   319 A Mt. Vernon             14- 0      14    25           0.00
   323 H Thomas Edison, VA      17- 5      12     7    +      2.98
   326 H Hayfield               16- 1      15    22           0.00
   409 A Falls Church           15- 4      11    13           0.00
   414 H McLean, VA             19-12       7    -1    +++    8.69
   422 A Annandale              17-13       4     1    +      2.27
   424 H J.E.B. Stuart          14- 2      12    20           0.00
   428 A Washington-Lee         19-20      -1     3    --    -4.24
   429 A Chantilly              13-14      -1     2    -     -3.20
   501 A Wakefield HS, VA       14- 0      14    14           0.00
   505 H Langley                14-15      -1    -6    ++     5.10
   508 A Westfield, VA          18-14       4    -3    +++    7.45
   511 H T.C. Williams          18- 7      11    12           0.00
   514 H Washington-Lee         12- 8       4     5          -1.19
   520 A James Madison, VA       3-26     -23   -10           0.00
   526 A W.T. Woodson            8-19     -11   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Washington-Lee         19-20      -1     3    --    -4.24
   429 A Chantilly              13-14      -1     2    -     -3.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H McLean, VA             19-12       7    -1    +++    8.69
   508 A Westfield, VA          18-14       4    -3    +++    7.45
   505 H Langley                14-15      -1    -6    ++     5.10
   323 H Thomas Edison, VA      17- 5      12     7    +      2.98
   422 A Annandale              17-13       4     1    +      2.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.19 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.81 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    33
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......   135
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.0
/