Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Trojans              Coach  =   Jeff Bauda            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 89.60431

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Amherst, NY            NY C  Sec 6   (17- 2, 99.9)     4-15   
 417 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (12- 4, 90.2)    14-12   
 418 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 9, 81.2)    16- 7   
 421 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 6, 86.3)     6- 5   
 423 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 83.0)     8-13   
 424 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (17- 2, 98.8)     4-15   
 427 A North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-11, 69.8)    16- 2   
 428 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (10- 7, 93.6)     2-12   
 430 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 9, 81.2)    10- 9   
 502 H Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 3, 89.4)     6- 7   
 505 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 71.3)    16- 1   
 507 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (12- 4, 90.2)    14-13  o
 508 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 86.0)    11-12   
 509 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 71.3)     9- 3   
 512 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 6, 86.3)     7-12   
 514 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 83.0)     9- 7   
 521 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 96.3)     6-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Amherst, NY             4-15     -11   -15           0.00
   417 H Williamsville East     14-12       2    -3    ++     5.07
   418 H West Seneca West       16- 7       9     5    +      3.01
   421 A Williamsville North     6- 5       1    -1    +      2.60
   423 A Williamsville South     8-13      -5     1    ---   -6.74
   424 A Lancaster, NY           4-15     -11   -14           0.00
   427 A North Tonawanda        16- 2      14    14           0.00
   428 H Frontier                2-12     -10    -6    -     -3.53
   430 A West Seneca West       10- 9       1     3    -     -2.56
   502 H Niagara-Wheatfield      6- 7      -1    -2           1.20
   505 A Sweet Home             16- 1      15    13           0.00
   507 A Williamsville East     14-13  o    1    -5    +++    6.50
   508 H Clarence               11-12      -1     1    -     -2.17
   509 H Sweet Home              9- 3       6    15    --    -4.00
   512 H Williamsville North     7-12      -5     0    --    -5.83
   514 H Williamsville South     9- 7       2     4    -     -2.17
   521 A Hamburg                 6-14      -8   -11    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Williamsville South     8-13      -5     1    ---   -6.74
   509 H Sweet Home              9- 3       6    15    --    -4.00
   512 H Williamsville North     7-12      -5     0    --    -5.83
   428 H Frontier                2-12     -10    -6    -     -3.53
   430 A West Seneca West       10- 9       1     3    -     -2.56
   508 H Clarence               11-12      -1     1    -     -2.17
   514 H Williamsville South     9- 7       2     4    -     -2.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Williamsville East     14-13  o    1    -5    +++    6.50
   417 H Williamsville East     14-12       2    -3    ++     5.07
   418 H West Seneca West       16- 7       9     5    +      3.01
   421 A Williamsville North     6- 5       1    -1    +      2.60
   521 A Hamburg                 6-14      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.96 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.46 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.4 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/