Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Warriors             Coach  =   Colleen Williams      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 93.12108

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Spencerport            NY B  Sec 5   (12- 5, 88.0)    12- 8   
 401 A Penn Yan Academy       NY C  Sec 5   (17- 2, 95.3)    10- 9   
 409 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (13- 9, 94.3)     3-13   
 411 A Our Lady of Mercy, Roc NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 81.3)    15- 3   
 415 A Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   ( 5-13, 86.8)    13- 7   
 417 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 85.5)    14-11   
 421 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (17- 4, 99.3)     6-13   
 425 A Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (14- 5, 96.0)     9-10  o
 427 A Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 90.0)     8-12   
 429 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 9, 93.7)     9-13   
 501 H Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   (11- 7, 94.0)     9-17   
 502 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (17- 2, 98.8)     7-15   
 505 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (18- 3, 99.9)     6-15   
 507 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (11- 7, 93.4)     8-11   
 513 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 90.1)    10-11  o
 514 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 70.2)    16- 2   
 519 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 85.5)    10- 9   
 521 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (18- 3, 99.9)     3-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Spencerport            12- 8       4     1    +      2.76
   401 A Penn Yan Academy       10- 9       1    -8    +++    9.14
   409 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      3-13     -10    -7    -     -2.88
   411 A Our Lady of Mercy, Roc 15- 3      12     5    ++     4.17
   415 A Canandaigua Academy    13- 7       6     0    ++     5.63
   417 H Rush-Henrietta         14-11       3     3          -0.72
   421 H Victor                  6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
   425 A Webster Thomas          9-10  o   -1    -8    +++    7.89
   427 A Brighton, NY            8-12      -4    -2          -1.11
   429 A Penfield                9-13      -4    -6    +      2.51
   501 H Churchville-Chili       9-17      -8    -4    -     -3.24
   502 A Lancaster, NY           7-15      -8   -11          n/a  
   505 H Pittsford               6-15      -9   -10           1.00
   507 H Irondequoit             8-11      -3    -4           1.24
   513 A Fairport               10-11  o   -1    -2           1.96
   514 H Gates-Chili            16- 2      14    19           0.00
   519 H Rush-Henrietta         10- 9       1     3    -     -2.72
   521 N Pittsford               3-11      -8   -11    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      3-13     -10    -7    -     -2.88
   501 H Churchville-Chili       9-17      -8    -4    -     -3.24
   519 H Rush-Henrietta         10- 9       1     3    -     -2.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Penn Yan Academy       10- 9       1    -8    +++    9.14
   425 A Webster Thomas          9-10  o   -1    -8    +++    7.89
   411 A Our Lady of Mercy, Roc 15- 3      12     5    ++     4.17
   415 A Canandaigua Academy    13- 7       6     0    ++     5.63
   323 H Spencerport            12- 8       4     1    +      2.76
   421 H Victor                  6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
   429 A Penfield                9-13      -4    -6    +      2.51
   502 A Lancaster, NY           7-15      -8   -11    +          
   521 N Pittsford               3-11      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.18 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.42 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.4 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/