Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Kerri Kilkenny        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 94.0988

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 7, 82.8)    10- 5   
 328 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 84.9)     9- 7   
 331 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 81.9)     8- 4   
 409 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 4, 93.4)    11- 9   
 411 A Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   (17- 2, 99.9)     8-11   
 413 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (18- 1, 98.3)    12-17   
 415 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 80.3)    15- 5   
 417 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 3, 94.5)     9-15   
 421 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-11, 76.7)    16- 8   
 423 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 92.2)    12-13  o
 428 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 5, 91.5)    12-13   
 430 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 84.0)    21-10   
 502 H Bayport-Blue Point     NY C  Sec 11  (14- 4, 95.1)     9-10   
 505 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-10, 75.3)    19- 6   
 507 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-11, 77.0)    17- 4   
 512 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 81.4)    14- 6   
 516 H Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 85.5)     7- 5   
 519 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 92.2)     6-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Connetquot             10- 5       5     7    -     -2.98
   328 H Sachem East             9- 7       2     5    -     -3.94
   331 A Bay Shore               8- 4       4     8    --    -4.13
   409 A Smithtown West         11- 9       2    -3    ++     5.43
   411 A Yorktown, NY            8-11      -3   -10          n/a  
   413 A Middle Country         12-17      -5    -8    +      3.26
   415 H Patchogue-Medford      15- 5      10    10           0.00
   417 H West Islip              9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.36
   421 H Lindenhurst            16- 8       8    14    -     -2.00
   423 A Northport              12-13  o   -1    -2           1.25
   428 A Smithtown East         12-13      -1    -1           0.53
   430 H Commack                21-10      11     6    +      3.21
   502 H Bayport-Blue Point      9-10      -1    -4    +      3.27
   505 A Riverhead              19- 6      13    14           0.00
   507 A Longwood               17- 4      13    12           0.00
   512 H Sachem North           14- 6       8     9          -1.42
   516 H Half Hollow Hills       7- 5       2     5    -     -3.35
   519 A Northport               6-10      -4    -2          -1.75

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Bay Shore               8- 4       4     8    --    -4.13
   326 H Connetquot             10- 5       5     7    -     -2.98
   328 H Sachem East             9- 7       2     5    -     -3.94
   417 H West Islip              9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.36
   421 H Lindenhurst            16- 8       8    14    -     -2.00
   516 H Half Hollow Hills       7- 5       2     5    -     -3.35

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Yorktown, NY            8-11      -3   -10    +++        
   409 A Smithtown West         11- 9       2    -3    ++     5.43
   413 A Middle Country         12-17      -5    -8    +      3.26
   430 H Commack                21-10      11     6    +      3.21
   502 H Bayport-Blue Point      9-10      -1    -4    +      3.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.40 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.69 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    1.2 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/