Topsail                       4 - 9


 
                                     Region = NC    C1               
   Nickname = C Pirates              Coach  =   Debbie Fortunato      



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating = 77.06028

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 H New Hanover            NC    C1      ( 3-10, 72.4)     9-13   
 317 A Hoggard                NC    C1      (16- 4, 92.8)     1-15   
 320 H Ashley                 NC    C1      (13- 3, 89.5)     6-17   
 324 A South Brunswick, NC    NC    C1      ( 3- 8, 67.9)     4-14   
 331 H West Brunswick         NC    C1      ( 0-11, 62.0)    17- 2   
 414 A New Hanover            NC    C1      ( 3-10, 72.4)    10- 4   
 415 A Laney                  NC    C1      (11- 4, 84.8)     3-15   
 417 H Hoggard                NC    C1      (16- 4, 92.8)     4-17   
 421 A Ashley                 NC    C1      (13- 3, 89.5)     7-18   
 424 H Laney                  NC    C1      (11- 4, 84.8)     2-13   
 428 A West Brunswick         NC    C1      ( 0-11, 62.0)    21- 4   
 430 H South Brunswick, NC    NC    C1      ( 3- 8, 67.9)    14- 2   
 506 N Sanderson              NC    C4      ( 7-12, 72.1)     8-10   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H New Hanover             9-13      -4     1    --    -5.96
   317 A Hoggard                 1-15     -14   -20           0.00
   320 H Ashley                  6-17     -11   -15           0.00
   324 A South Brunswick, NC     4-14     -10     4    ---  -14.14
   331 H West Brunswick         17- 2      15    12           0.00
   414 A New Hanover            10- 4       6     0    +++    6.38
   415 A Laney                   3-15     -12   -12           0.00
   417 H Hoggard                 4-17     -13   -18           0.00
   421 A Ashley                  7-18     -11   -17           0.00
   424 H Laney                   2-13     -11   -10           0.00
   428 A West Brunswick         21- 4      17    10           0.00
   430 H South Brunswick, NC    14- 2      12     6    +      3.53
   506 N Sanderson               8-10      -2     1    -     -3.04


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A South Brunswick, NC     4-14     -10     4    ---  -14.14
   313 H New Hanover             9-13      -4     1    --    -5.96
   506 N Sanderson               8-10      -2     1    -     -3.04


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A New Hanover            10- 4       6     0    +++    6.38
   430 H South Brunswick, NC    14- 2      12     6    +      3.53




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.16 Local Power Rank...........    53
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.34 Local SOS Rank.............    47
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    60
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    75
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    60
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    9.0


  
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