St. Maria Goretti             4 - 7


 
                                     Region = MD    Indep            
   Nickname = D                      Coach  =   Sheaffer Reese        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating = 83.73334

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 318 H St. John's Cath. Prep  MD    IAAM B  ( 4-12, 82.3)    12-13   
 320 H Mt. Carmel, MD         MD    IAAM C  ( 1-15, 75.6)    12- 5   
 324 A Gerstell Academy       MD    CALL    (11- 0, 99.9)     8-21   
 327 H FCA                    MD    CALL    (14- 3, 91.0)     9-21   
 331 A St. James School       DC    Indep   ( 5- 2, 79.4)     7-18   
 416 A Mercersburg Academy    NJ    Prep    ( 5- 8, 89.8)    13-21   
 418 A Smithsburg             MD    2A-1A   ( 7- 5, 73.5)     6-17   
 422 A Brunswick, MD          MD    2A-1A   ( 7- 8, 74.2)     9-15   
 427 H Chambersburg Area      PA    Mid PA  ( 5-12, 70.6)    19-13   
 428 A South Hagerstown       MD    3A-2A   ( 0-12, 55.6)    18- 8   
 505 H West Shore, PA         PA    Indep   ( 5- 1, 79.4)    10- 9   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H St. John's Cath. Prep  12-13      -1    -4          n/a  
   320 H Mt. Carmel, MD         12- 5       7     2          n/a  
   324 A Gerstell Academy        8-21     -13   -24           0.00
   327 H FCA                     9-21     -12   -13           0.00
   331 A St. James School        7-18     -11    -3          n/a  
   416 A Mercersburg Academy    13-21      -8   -13          n/a  
   418 A Smithsburg              6-17     -11     2          n/a  
   422 A Brunswick, MD           9-15      -6     1          n/a  
   427 H Chambersburg Area      19-13       6     6          n/a  
   428 A South Hagerstown       18- 8      10    20          n/a  
   505 H West Shore, PA         10- 9       1    -1          n/a  


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A St. James School        7-18     -11    -3    ---        
   418 A Smithsburg              6-17     -11     2    ---        
   422 A Brunswick, MD           9-15      -6     1    ---        


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Mt. Carmel, MD         12- 5       7     2    ++         
   318 H St. John's Cath. Prep  12-13      -1    -4    +          
   416 A Mercersburg Academy    13-21      -8   -13    +          
   505 H West Shore, PA         10- 9       1    -1    +          




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.75 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.95 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7


  
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