Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Erica McMahon         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 82.56856

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H North Middlesex        MA    C/W D1  (10- 9, 77.8)    14-11   
 404 H Nipmuc                 MA    C/W D2  ( 8- 9, 73.0)    17-13   
 406 A Natick                 MA    East D1 (14- 7, 84.0)    13-14   
 407 A Wachusett              MA    C/W D1  ( 7-10, 73.3)    13-11   
 411 A North Andover          MA    No D1   (18- 6, 89.2)     8-14   
 414 A Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (14- 5, 88.3)    10-17   
 416 A Westborough            MA    C/W D1  (13- 5, 88.0)     7-14   
 420 A Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    C/W D2  (18- 4, 83.5)    15-17   
 423 A Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (14- 5, 91.6)     9-20   
 427 H Bromfield School       MA    C/W D2  (18- 2, 87.8)    10-21   
 428 A Nashoba Regional       MA    C/W D1  ( 2-14, 68.2)    17-10   
 430 H Wachusett              MA    C/W D1  ( 7-10, 73.3)    18- 8   
 504 H Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    C/W D2  (18- 4, 83.5)    12-16   
 505 H Groton-Dunstable       MA    C/W D2  (15- 7, 86.0)    11-19   
 507 H Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (14- 5, 88.3)     9-19   
 512 H Westborough            MA    C/W D1  (13- 5, 88.0)    11-21   
 516 A Groton-Dunstable       MA    C/W D2  (15- 7, 86.0)     8-19   
 520 H Northbridge            MA    C/W D2  ( 0-11, 53.2)    21- 3   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H North Middlesex        14-11       3     0    +      3.91
   404 H Nipmuc                 17-13       4     3           0.11
   406 A Natick                 13-14      -1    -8    +++    7.90
   407 A Wachusett              13-11       2     1           0.24
   411 A North Andover           8-14      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   414 A Algonquin              10-17      -7   -13    +      3.00
   416 A Westborough             7-14      -7   -12    +      3.00
   420 A Grafton Memorial, MA   15-17      -2    -8    +++    6.40
   423 A Minnechaug              9-20     -11   -16           0.00
   427 H Bromfield School       10-21     -11   -10           0.00
   428 A Nashoba Regional       17-10       7     6           0.07
   430 H Wachusett              18- 8      10     3    +++    6.48
   504 H Grafton Memorial, MA   12-16      -4    -6    +      2.63
   505 H Groton-Dunstable       11-19      -8    -9           1.18
   507 H Algonquin               9-19     -10   -11           0.00
   512 H Westborough            11-21     -10   -11           0.00
   516 A Groton-Dunstable        8-19     -11   -10           0.00
   520 H Northbridge            21- 3      18    23           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Natick                 13-14      -1    -8    +++    7.90
   420 A Grafton Memorial, MA   15-17      -2    -8    +++    6.40
   430 H Wachusett              18- 8      10     3    +++    6.48
   411 A North Andover           8-14      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   402 H North Middlesex        14-11       3     0    +      3.91
   414 A Algonquin              10-17      -7   -13    +      3.00
   416 A Westborough             7-14      -7   -12    +      3.00
   504 H Grafton Memorial, MA   12-16      -4    -6    +      2.63
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.97 Local Power Rank...........    87
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.06 Local SOS Rank.............    31
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    71
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......   158
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   150
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
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