Region = TN    East 2           
   Nickname = N Smoky Bears          Coach  =   Rod Case              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 68.80383

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 310 A West Knoxville         TN    East 2  ( 8- 7, 66.9)    10-16   
 313 H Seymour                TN    East 2  (16- 6, 81.1)     3-17   
 317 A Pigeon Forge           TN    East 2  ( 0-11, 47.1)    17- 1   
 319 A Gatlinburg Pittman     TN    East 2  ( 4- 8, 63.7)    12- 6   
 324 H Farragut               TN    East 2  ( 5- 9, 62.9)    10- 7   
 326 H Pigeon Forge           TN    East 2  ( 0-11, 47.1)    24- 3   
 414 H West Knoxville         TN    East 2  ( 8- 7, 66.9)     7-10   
 417 A Father Ryan            TN    Cntrl E ( 9- 8, 76.0)     7-20   
 417 A Knoxville Catholic     TN    East 2  ( 9- 6, 69.5)     7-14   
 418 H Ashville Empire Club   NC    Indep   ( 0- 4, 58.0)     4- 3   
 418 H Father Ryan            TN    Cntrl E ( 9- 8, 76.0)     5-17   
 419 H Ashville Empire Club   NC    Indep   ( 0- 4, 58.0)    15-10   
 420 A Farragut               TN    East 2  ( 5- 9, 62.9)    12-13   
 423 H Gatlinburg Pittman     TN    East 2  ( 4- 8, 63.7)    10- 8   
 424 A Seymour                TN    East 2  (16- 6, 81.1)     1-15   
 428 H Knoxville Catholic     TN    East 2  ( 9- 6, 69.5)     7-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A West Knoxville         10-16      -6    -3    -     -2.75
   313 H Seymour                 3-17     -14   -15           0.00
   317 A Pigeon Forge           17- 1      16    16           0.00
   319 A Gatlinburg Pittman     12- 6       6     0    +++    6.14
   324 H Farragut               10- 7       3     2           0.11
   326 H Pigeon Forge           24- 3      21    18           0.00
   414 H West Knoxville          7-10      -3    -1          -1.94
   417 A Father Ryan             7-20     -13   -12           0.00
   417 A Knoxville Catholic      7-14      -7    -5          -1.11
   418 H Ashville Empire Club    4- 3       1     7          n/a  
   418 H Father Ryan             5-17     -12   -10           0.00
   419 H Ashville Empire Club   15-10       5     7          n/a  
   420 A Farragut               12-13      -1     0          -1.71
   423 H Gatlinburg Pittman     10- 8       2     2          -0.05
   424 A Seymour                 1-15     -14   -17           0.00
   428 H Knoxville Catholic      7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.29

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Ashville Empire Club    4- 3       1     7    ---        
   310 A West Knoxville         10-16      -6    -3    -     -2.75
   419 H Ashville Empire Club   15-10       5     7    -          
   428 H Knoxville Catholic      7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Gatlinburg Pittman     12- 6       6     0    +++    6.14
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 64.70 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 36.40 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    34
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0
/