Saginaw Heritage              2 - 5


 
                                     Region = MI    DII              
   Nickname = I Hawks                Coach  =   Sophie Kostrewza      



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating = 72.98244

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Oxford, MI             MI    DII     ( 7- 8, 69.5)     4- 9   
 416 H Midland-HH Dow, MI     MI    DI      (12- 1, 80.8)     8-10   
 418 A Grand Ledge            MI    Indep   ( 7-13, 63.6)    11-10   
 423 A Flint Powers Catholic  MI    DII     ( 5-11, 69.4)     5- 9   
 425 N Grand Ledge            MI    Indep   ( 7-13, 63.6)     9- 3   
 504 A Midland-HH Dow, MI     MI    DI      (12- 1, 80.8)     4-16   
 507 H Flint Powers Catholic  MI    DII     ( 5-11, 69.4)   
 516 H Oxford, MI             MI    DII     ( 7- 8, 69.5)   
 518 A DeWitt                 MI    DII     ( 9-10, 67.1)    10-11  o


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Oxford, MI              4- 9      -5    -4          -0.86
   416 H Midland-HH Dow, MI      8-10      -2   -14    +++    8.00
   418 A Grand Ledge            11-10       1     1          -0.78
   423 A Flint Powers Catholic   5- 9      -4    -3          -0.01
   425 N Grand Ledge             9- 3       6     2    +      3.57
   504 A Midland-HH Dow, MI      4-16     -12   -15           0.00
   518 A DeWitt                 10-11  o   -1    -1           0.74


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Midland-HH Dow, MI      8-10      -2   -14    +++    8.00
   425 N Grand Ledge             9- 3       6     2    +      3.57




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 66.01 Local Power Rank...........    51
 Local SOS Rating......... 42.72 Local SOS Rank.............    52
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    50
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    59
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3


  
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