Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Allison Bourgal       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 90.050095

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 A East Islip             NY B  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 83.7)    12-13   
 326 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 4, 93.4)     7-16   
 328 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 90.4)     7- 9   
 331 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 5, 91.5)     5-15   
 407 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-11, 77.0)    17-13   
 413 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 84.0)     6- 7   
 415 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (19- 3, 94.5)     9-15   
 421 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 80.3)    12- 7   
 423 H Copiague               NY B  Sec 11  ( 0-14, 62.5)     1- 0   
 425 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 81.9)     9- 7   
 430 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (18- 1, 98.3)     6-13   
 505 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 7, 82.8)    14- 9   
 508 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-10, 75.3)    14- 5   
 509 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 92.2)     9-10   
 512 A Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-13, 68.4)    18- 3   
 516 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 84.0)    11- 7   
 519 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (18- 1, 98.3)     4-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A East Islip             12-13      -1     0          -1.77
   326 H Smithtown West          7-16      -9    -8          -0.84
   328 A Ward Melville           7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.94
   331 H Smithtown East          5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.73
   407 A Longwood               17-13       4     7    -     -3.45
   413 A Commack                 6- 7      -1     0          -1.44
   415 A West Islip              9-15      -6    -9    +      3.99
   421 A Patchogue-Medford      12- 7       5     4           0.86
   425 H Bay Shore               9- 7       2     3          -1.40
   430 A Middle Country          6-13      -7   -13    +      3.00
   505 H Connetquot             14- 9       5     2    +      2.56
   508 H Riverhead              14- 5       9     9          -0.95
   509 H Northport               9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.98
   512 A Brentwood, NY          18- 3      15    16           0.00
   516 A Commack                11- 7       4     0    +      3.56
   519 A Middle Country          4-16     -12   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Smithtown East          5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.73
   407 A Longwood               17-13       4     7    -     -3.45

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Northport               9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.98
   328 A Ward Melville           7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.94
   415 A West Islip              9-15      -6    -9    +      3.99
   430 A Middle Country          6-13      -7   -13    +      3.00
   505 H Connetquot             14- 9       5     2    +      2.56
   516 A Commack                11- 7       4     0    +      3.56
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.87 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.49 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    42
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/