Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Comets               Coach  =   Tom MacMillan         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 91.346375

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (17- 2, 98.8)     8-10   
 409 A Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 90.0)     7-10   
 413 H Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   ( 5-13, 86.8)     7- 5   
 415 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (17- 4, 99.3)     5-13   
 417 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-11, 88.2)    11-14   
 418 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 96.3)    12- 9   
 421 H Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   (11- 7, 94.0)     5-15   
 423 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 90.1)     8-10  o
 425 A Olympia-Arcadia        NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 77.3)    13- 4   
 427 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (11- 7, 93.4)     5-13   
 429 H Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (14- 5, 96.0)     6- 8   
 504 A Our Lady of Mercy, Roc NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 81.3)    11-10 2o
 505 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 9, 93.7)     3- 8   
 507 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (13- 9, 94.3)     8-15   
 508 A Livonia, NY            NY C  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 79.2)    13- 5   
 513 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (18- 3, 99.9)     4-14   
 519 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-11, 88.2)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Lancaster, NY           8-10      -2   -12          n/a  
   409 A Brighton, NY            7-10      -3    -5    +      2.59
   413 H Canandaigua Academy     7- 5       2     0    +      2.26
   415 A Victor                  5-13      -8   -14    +      2.00
   417 A Webster Schroeder      11-14      -3    -3           0.72
   418 H Hamburg                12- 9       3    -9          n/a  
   421 H Churchville-Chili       5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.55
   423 A Fairport                8-10  o   -2    -5    +      3.65
   425 A Olympia-Arcadia        13- 4       9     7           1.80
   427 A Irondequoit             5-13      -8    -8           0.99
   429 H Webster Thomas          6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.53
   504 A Our Lady of Mercy, Roc 11-10 2o    1     3    -     -2.14
   505 H Penfield                3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.15
   507 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      8-15      -7    -7           0.76
   508 A Livonia, NY            13- 5       8     5    +      2.71
   513 A Pittsford               4-14     -10   -15           0.00
   519 A Webster Schroeder       9-10      -1    -3    +      2.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Churchville-Chili       5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.55
   504 A Our Lady of Mercy, Roc 11-10 2o    1     3    -     -2.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Lancaster, NY           8-10      -2   -12    +++        
   418 H Hamburg                12- 9       3    -9    +++        
   429 H Webster Thomas          6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.53
   409 A Brighton, NY            7-10      -3    -5    +      2.59
   413 H Canandaigua Academy     7- 5       2     0    +      2.26
   415 A Victor                  5-13      -8   -14    +      2.00
   423 A Fairport                8-10  o   -2    -5    +      3.65
   505 H Penfield                3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.15
   508 A Livonia, NY            13- 5       8     5    +      2.71
   519 A Webster Schroeder       9-10      -1    -3    +      2.72
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.48 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.74 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/