Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Wayne Smith           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 97.16787

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (11- 7, 93.4)    12-11   
 404 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (16- 4, 99.5)     3- 9   
 410 A Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   ( 5-13, 86.8)    11- 6   
 413 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (13- 9, 94.3)     8- 6   
 415 A Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 90.0)    10- 3   
 417 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 90.1)    10-11   
 418 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (12- 6, 94.1)     3- 9   
 421 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (11- 7, 93.4)     8- 9 2o
 423 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (18- 3, 99.9)     3- 5   
 427 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (17- 4, 99.3)     6- 7   
 429 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-11, 88.2)    13- 9   
 502 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (13- 9, 94.3)     4- 7   
 505 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 85.5)     8- 3   
 509 H Christian Brothers, NY NY A  Sec 3   (14- 5, 99.2)    10- 9   
 511 H Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   (11- 7, 94.0)    10-11   
 513 H Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (14- 5, 96.0)    13- 7   
 519 H Olympia-Arcadia        NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 77.3)    15- 2   
 521 N Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 90.1)     7- 5   
 527 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (18- 3, 99.9)     6- 7  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Irondequoit            12-11       1     0           1.81
   404 A West Genesee            3- 9      -6    -6          n/a  
   410 A Canandaigua Academy    11- 6       5     5          -0.86
   413 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      8- 6       2     0           1.59
   415 A Brighton, NY           10- 3       7     2    ++     4.41
   417 H Fairport               10-11      -1     4    --    -5.58
   418 A Baldwinsville           3- 9      -6    -1          n/a  
   421 H Irondequoit             8- 9 2o   -1     1    -     -2.24
   423 A Pittsford               3- 5      -2    -7    ++     5.27
   427 A Victor                  6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.66
   429 H Webster Schroeder      13- 9       4     6    -     -2.51
   502 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      4- 7      -3    -1          -1.36
   505 A Rush-Henrietta          8- 3       5     7    -     -2.15
   509 H Christian Brothers, NY 10- 9       1    -4          n/a  
   511 H Churchville-Chili      10-11      -1     0          -1.72
   513 H Webster Thomas         13- 7       6    -1    +++    7.36
   519 H Olympia-Arcadia        15- 2      13    17           0.00
   521 N Fairport                7- 5       2     3          -1.55
   527 N Pittsford               6- 7  o   -1    -6    ++     5.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Fairport               10-11      -1     4    --    -5.58
   418 A Baldwinsville           3- 9      -6    -1    --         
   421 H Irondequoit             8- 9 2o   -1     1    -     -2.24
   429 H Webster Schroeder      13- 9       4     6    -     -2.51
   505 A Rush-Henrietta          8- 3       5     7    -     -2.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Webster Thomas         13- 7       6    -1    +++    7.36
   415 A Brighton, NY           10- 3       7     2    ++     4.41
   423 A Pittsford               3- 5      -2    -7    ++     5.27
   427 A Victor                  6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.66
   509 H Christian Brothers, NY 10- 9       1    -4    ++         
   527 N Pittsford               6- 7  o   -1    -6    ++     5.24
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.66 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.80 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .   11.2 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/