Region = MD    3A-2A            
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Beth Nave             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 92.4987

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Winters Mill           MD    2A-1A   (10- 5, 89.3)     7-10   
 326 H Century, MD            MD    3A-2A   (17- 3, 97.4)     8-11   
 331 A Urbana                 MD    4A-3A   ( 5-11, 75.6)    16- 5   
 401 H Manchester Valley      MD    2A-1A   (19- 0, 99.9)     1-12   
 402 H John Carroll, MD       MD    IAAM A  (13- 5, 92.4)     8-11   
 407 H Gov. Thomas Johnson    MD    3A-2A   ( 1-11, 62.1)    25- 2   
 409 A Tuscarora, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 3-11, 67.9)    15- 1   
 414 A Middletown, MD         MD    3A-2A   (11- 8, 86.6)     6- 3   
 416 H Walkersville           MD    2A-1A   (13- 4, 82.1)    17- 6   
 417 H Westminster, MD        MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 7, 84.6)    14- 5   
 421 H Linganore              MD    4A-3A   ( 5-10, 69.3)    20- 7   
 423 A Frederick              MD    3A-2A   ( 9- 5, 80.2)    13- 5   
 428 A Liberty, MD            MD    2A-1A   (12- 4, 93.1)     9-13   
 430 H Francis Scott Key      MD    2A-1A   ( 1-11, 67.2)    18- 7   
 509 H Urbana                 MD    4A-3A   ( 5-11, 75.6)    23- 7   
 511 H Middletown, MD         MD    3A-2A   (11- 8, 86.6)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Winters Mill            7-10      -3    -1          -1.33
   326 H Century, MD             8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.08
   331 A Urbana                 16- 5      11    12           0.00
   401 H Manchester Valley       1-12     -11   -10           0.00
   402 H John Carroll, MD        8-11      -3    -2          n/a  
   407 H Gov. Thomas Johnson    25- 2      23    27           0.00
   409 A Tuscarora, MD          15- 1      14    19           0.00
   414 A Middletown, MD          6- 3       3     1           1.96
   416 H Walkersville           17- 6      11     7    +      2.74
   417 H Westminster, MD        14- 5       9     4    ++     4.27
   421 H Linganore              20- 7      13    20           0.00
   423 A Frederick              13- 5       8     7           0.56
   428 A Liberty, MD             9-13      -4    -5           1.45
   430 H Francis Scott Key      18- 7      11    22           0.00
   509 H Urbana                 23- 7      16    13           0.00
   511 H Middletown, MD          6- 8      -2     2    --    -4.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 H Middletown, MD          6- 8      -2     2    --    -4.79

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Century, MD             8-11      -3    -8    ++     5.08
   417 H Westminster, MD        14- 5       9     4    ++     4.27
   416 H Walkersville           17- 6      11     7    +      2.74
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.50 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.71 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.4 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.3
/