Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Trish Pineda          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 90.0814

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 H Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 74.0)    18- 2   
 410 N Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 9- 6, 91.0)    10- 9  o
 413 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (12- 4, 90.2)     9-15   
 414 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (10- 7, 84.7)     8- 6   
 416 A North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-11, 69.8)     9- 3   
 420 H Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 6- 9, 77.3)    12- 8   
 422 A St. Mary's, Lancaster  NY    Martin  ( 0- 4, 67.6)    16- 3   
 425 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 82.8)     9- 5   
 429 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 69.4)    19- 1   
 502 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 8, 86.0)     7- 6   
 504 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (10- 7, 84.7)    13- 8   
 506 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-11, 69.8)    15- 5   
 509 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 69.4)    14- 1   
 511 A Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 6- 9, 77.3)    13- 5   
 515 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (10- 7, 93.6)     6-17   
 519 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 83.0)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Eden                   18- 2      16    16           0.00
   410 N Orchard Park           10- 9  o    1    -1    +      2.59
   413 A Williamsville East      9-15      -6    -2    -     -3.92
   414 H Grand Island            8- 6       2     5    -     -3.88
   416 A North Tonawanda         9- 3       6    18    --    -4.00
   420 H Niagara Falls          12- 8       4    13    ---   -6.00
   422 A St. Mary's, Lancaster  16- 3      13    20           0.00
   425 A East Aurora             9- 5       4     5          -1.35
   429 H Lockport               19- 1      18    21           0.00
   502 A West Seneca East        7- 6       1     2          -1.20
   504 A Grand Island           13- 8       5     3           1.55
   506 H North Tonawanda        15- 5      10    20           0.00
   509 H Lockport               14- 1      13    21           0.00
   511 A Niagara Falls          13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   515 A Frontier                6-17     -11    -5    --    -4.52
   519 H Williamsville South    10-11      -1     7    ---   -8.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Niagara Falls          12- 8       4    13    ---   -6.00
   519 H Williamsville South    10-11      -1     7    ---   -8.59
   416 A North Tonawanda         9- 3       6    18    --    -4.00
   515 A Frontier                6-17     -11    -5    --    -4.52
   413 A Williamsville East      9-15      -6    -2    -     -3.92
   414 H Grand Island            8- 6       2     5    -     -3.88
   511 A Niagara Falls          13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 N Orchard Park           10- 9  o    1    -1    +      2.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.37 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.39 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.4 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/