Northwest, MD                 3 - 7


 
                                     Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Jaguars              Coach  =   Michell Heyl          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating = 70.10245

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A Winston Churchill      MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 6, 79.4)     2-17   
 323 H Poolesville            MD    3A-2A   (10- 3, 79.9)     2-17   
 402 H Quince Orchard         MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 6, 68.4)     5- 7   
 413 A Gaithersburg           MD    4A-3A   (12- 2, 74.5)     3-14   
 415 H Clarksburg             MD    4A-3A   ( 3- 9, 58.6)    12- 7   
 421 A Magruder               MD    4A-3A   ( 2-10, 56.1)   
 423 H Richard Montgomery, MD MD    4A-3A   ( 5- 4, 66.6)   
 425 H Paint Branch           MD    4A-3A   ( 2- 9, 56.7)    12- 3   
 427 A Springbrook            MD    4A-3A   (12- 2, 71.5)     4- 7   
 429 H Blake, MD              MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 5, 66.3)   
 501 A Whitman, MD            MD    4A-3A   (13- 3, 79.3)     3-18   
 504 H Seneca Valley, MD      MD    3A-2A   ( 2-11, 57.8)    15- 9   
 509 A Gaithersburg           MD    4A-3A   (12- 2, 74.5)     8-10   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Winston Churchill       2-17     -15   -17           0.00
   323 H Poolesville             2-17     -15   -16           0.00
   402 H Quince Orchard          5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.73
   413 A Gaithersburg            3-14     -11   -12           0.00
   415 H Clarksburg             12- 7       5     5          -0.08
   425 H Paint Branch           12- 3       9     6    +      2.01
   427 A Springbrook             4- 7      -3    -9    +++    6.51
   501 A Whitman, MD             3-18     -15   -17           0.00
   504 H Seneca Valley, MD      15- 9       6     5           0.13
   509 A Gaithersburg            8-10      -2   -12    +++    8.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Springbrook             4- 7      -3    -9    +++    6.51
   509 A Gaithersburg            8-10      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   402 H Quince Orchard          5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.73
   425 H Paint Branch           12- 3       9     6    +      2.01




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 62.82 Local Power Rank...........   101
 Local SOS Rating......... 42.29 Local SOS Rank.............    83
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    71
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    86
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    99
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7


  
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