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Region = CT Class L Nickname = T Bears Coach = Al MorgenthalerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.84894 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 408 H New Milford CT Class L ( 8-11, 78.1) 13- 8 410 A St. Joseph, CT CT Class S ( 3-13, 73.7) 11- 7 414 H Darien CT Class L (20- 3, 99.9) 1-20 418 A Brien McMahon CT Class L ( 4-12, 72.8) 17- 8 421 H New Canaan CT Class M (19- 4, 97.7) 3-19 423 H St. Joseph, CT CT Class S ( 3-13, 73.7) 13-11 425 A Ridgefield CT Class L (11- 7, 86.9) 6-16 428 H Wilton CT Class M (14- 7, 93.0) 3-19 430 A Fairfield Warde CT Class L ( 9- 7, 85.0) 6-14 502 H Fairfield Ludlowe CT Class L (11- 7, 88.3) 10-20 506 H Guilford, CT CT Class M (14- 6, 84.2) 5- 8 508 H Weston, CT CT Class S (10- 7, 84.2) 17-16 511 A Bethel, CT CT Class M (12- 7, 82.6) 7-10 512 H Trumbull CT Class L ( 4-11, 73.4) 15- 9 516 A Staples CT Class L (12- 7, 89.2) 7-17 519 A Stamford CT Class L ( 5- 9, 78.6) 14-11 529 A Danbury CT Class L ( 8-10, 81.4) 5-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H New Milford 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.18 410 A St. Joseph, CT 11- 7 4 3 0.29 414 H Darien 1-20 -19 -21 0.00 418 A Brien McMahon 17- 8 9 4 ++ 4.38 421 H New Canaan 3-19 -16 -18 0.00 423 H St. Joseph, CT 13-11 2 5 - -3.19 425 A Ridgefield 6-16 -10 -9 -0.52 428 H Wilton 3-19 -16 -14 0.00 430 A Fairfield Warde 6-14 -8 -7 -0.39 502 H Fairfield Ludlowe 10-20 -10 -9 -0.55 506 H Guilford, CT 5- 8 -3 -5 + 2.35 508 H Weston, CT 17-16 1 -5 +++ 6.29 511 A Bethel, CT 7-10 -3 -5 + 2.17 512 H Trumbull 15- 9 6 5 0.48 516 A Staples 7-17 -10 -11 0.00 519 A Stamford 14-11 3 -1 ++ 4.13 529 A Danbury 5-15 -10 -3 --- -6.05UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 529 A Danbury 5-15 -10 -3 --- -6.05 423 H St. Joseph, CT 13-11 2 5 - -3.19OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 H Weston, CT 17-16 1 -5 +++ 6.29 408 H New Milford 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.18 418 A Brien McMahon 17- 8 9 4 ++ 4.38 519 A Stamford 14-11 3 -1 ++ 4.13 506 H Guilford, CT 5- 8 -3 -5 + 2.35 511 A Bethel, CT 7-10 -3 -5 + 2.17/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.16 Local Power Rank........... 36 Local SOS Rating......... 65.18 Local SOS Rank............. 11 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 44 Championship Probability . 0.0 Championship Rank ....... 58 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 34 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 13.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -17.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -15.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -11.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.7