North Tonawanda               1 -11


 
   Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Lumberjacks          Coach  =   Brandon Schmitt       



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating = 78.14735

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 6- 9, 77.3)     7-10   
 414 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 71.3)     4- 8   
 416 H Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 3, 89.4)     3- 9   
 420 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (10- 7, 84.7)     3-17   
 422 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 69.4)     7- 4   
 427 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 8, 86.0)     2-16   
 429 H Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 6- 9, 77.3)     4-11   
 506 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 3, 89.4)     5-15   
 508 A Iroquois               NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 84.3)     1-14   
 511 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (10- 7, 84.7)     4-17   
 513 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 69.4)     6- 7   
 518 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 83.0)     7-11   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Niagara Falls           7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.65
   414 A Sweet Home              4- 8      -4    -2          -1.34
   416 H Niagara-Wheatfield      3- 9      -6   -18    ++     4.00
   420 H Grand Island            3-17     -14   -13           0.00
   422 H Lockport                7- 4       3     1           1.33
   427 H West Seneca East        2-16     -14   -14           0.00
   429 H Niagara Falls           4-11      -7    -6          -0.77
   506 A Niagara-Wheatfield      5-15     -10   -20           0.00
   508 A Iroquois                1-14     -13   -15           0.00
   511 A Grand Island            4-17     -13   -16           0.00
   513 A Lockport                6- 7      -1     0          -0.24
   518 A Williamsville South     7-11      -4   -14    +++    6.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 A Williamsville South     7-11      -4   -14    +++    6.00
   324 A Niagara Falls           7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.65
   416 H Niagara-Wheatfield      3- 9      -6   -18    ++     4.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.84 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.97 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.33 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0


  
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