Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   David Yelle           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 94.01871

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A West Springfield, MA   MA    C/W D1  ( 3-14, 66.8)    15- 0   
 411 N Niskayuna              NY B  Sec 2   (17- 1, 99.9)    11-14   
 414 A East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  (13- 6, 80.5)    18- 5   
 417 H Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (13- 5, 86.4)    17- 4   
 421 A Duxbury                MA    So D1   (16- 6, 87.9)    11-15   
 423 H Shrewsbury             MA    C/W D1  ( 6-12, 76.0)    20- 9   
 424 H South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 6-12, 74.4)    14- 3   
 427 A Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (22- 3, 95.7)     8- 9   
 504 H Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (13- 7, 85.1)    20- 5   
 505 A Amherst-Pelham         MA    C/W D1  ( 5-15, 68.3)    14- 1   
 509 H Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (14- 5, 88.3)    13-10   
 511 A South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 6-12, 74.4)    16- 4   
 514 A Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (13- 5, 86.4)    19- 7   
 515 A Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (13- 7, 85.1)    10- 9   
 522 H Belchertown            MA    C/W D2  ( 8- 9, 75.9)    17- 4   
 527 H Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (22- 3, 95.7)     7-11   
 604 H East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  (13- 6, 80.5)    16- 6   
 610 H Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (14- 5, 88.3)    11- 8   
 612 N Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (22- 3, 95.7)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A West Springfield, MA   15- 0      15    23           0.00
   411 N Niskayuna              11-14      -3    -8          n/a  
   414 A East Longmeadow        18- 5      13    10           0.00
   417 H Northampton, MA        17- 4      13     6    +      3.84
   421 A Duxbury                11-15      -4     2    ---   -6.85
   423 H Shrewsbury             20- 9      11    16           0.00
   424 H South Hadley           14- 3      11    18           0.00
   427 A Longmeadow              8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.90
   504 H Agawam                 20- 5      15     7    +      2.55
   505 A Amherst-Pelham         14- 1      13    22           0.00
   509 H Algonquin              13-10       3     4          -1.18
   511 A South Hadley           16- 4      12    16           0.00
   514 A Northampton, MA        19- 7      12     4    ++     5.61
   515 A Agawam                 10- 9       1     5    --    -4.68
   522 H Belchertown            17- 4      13    16           0.00
   527 H Longmeadow              7-11      -4    -3          -0.87
   604 H East Longmeadow        16- 6      10    12           0.00
   610 H Algonquin              11- 8       3     4          -1.18
   612 N Longmeadow              7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Duxbury                11-15      -4     2    ---   -6.85
   515 A Agawam                 10- 9       1     5    --    -4.68

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 N Niskayuna              11-14      -3    -8    ++         
   514 A Northampton, MA        19- 7      12     4    ++     5.61
   417 H Northampton, MA        17- 4      13     6    +      3.84
   427 A Longmeadow              8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.90
   504 H Agawam                 20- 5      15     7    +      2.55
   612 N Longmeadow              7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.01
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.64 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.62 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    2.4 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/