Mercer Island                 9 - 3


 
                                     Region = WA    Alki             
   Nickname = A Islanders            Coach  =   Liz Shields           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating = 92.30144

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 318 A Bainbridge Island      WA    Alki    (12- 1, 98.7)     7-18   
 320 H Seattle Prep School    WA    Alki    ( 6- 6, 76.8)    18- 5   
 323 A Lakeside School        WA    No S    ( 7- 4, 88.6)    10-13   
 330 A Holy Names Acad, WA    WA    Alki    ( 7- 4, 83.7)    13- 6   
 402 H SW Club                WA    Alki    ( 3- 9, 63.7)    15- 0   
 416 H Bellarmine Prep        WA    Pen     ( 9- 3, 81.1)    16- 6   
 418 A Kennedy, WA            WA    Alki    ( 4- 8, 72.1)    18- 2   
 421 H Bellingham, WA         WA    No S    ( 4- 8, 70.1)    18- 6   
 423 A Gig Harbor             WA    Pen     ( 5- 7, 74.4)    17- 2   
 428 A Nathan Hale            WA    No S    ( 3- 9, 70.3)    18- 5   
 430 H Garfield, WA           WA    Alki    ( 2-10, 68.5)    16- 0   
 504 H Eastside Catholic, WA  WA    Snoq    (13- 2, 96.5)     7- 9   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Bainbridge Island       7-18     -11    -9          -0.23
   320 H Seattle Prep School    18- 5      13    13           0.00
   323 A Lakeside School        10-13      -3     0    -     -3.29
   330 A Holy Names Acad, WA    13- 6       7     5           1.81
   402 H SW Club                15- 0      15    26           0.00
   416 H Bellarmine Prep        16- 6      10     9           0.75
   418 A Kennedy, WA            18- 2      16    16           0.00
   421 H Bellingham, WA         18- 6      12    20           0.00
   423 A Gig Harbor             17- 2      15    14           0.00
   428 A Nathan Hale            18- 5      13    18           0.00
   430 H Garfield, WA           16- 0      16    21           0.00
   504 H Eastside Catholic, WA   7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.16


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Lakeside School        10-13      -3     0    -     -3.29


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Eastside Catholic, WA   7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.16




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.63 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.89 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.4 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    9.0


  
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