Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Steve Dudeck          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 96.34327

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 411 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (14- 5, 93.2)    10- 7   
 413 A South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 6-12, 74.4)    15- 2   
 416 H Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (13- 7, 85.1)    13- 4   
 417 H Belchertown            MA    C/W D2  ( 8- 9, 75.9)    19- 1   
 420 A Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (24- 1, 99.9)     5-13   
 421 A Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (13- 7, 85.1)    17- 2   
 425 H Notre Dame Acad, MA    MA    So D1   (21- 4, 97.9)     9-14   
 427 H Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (14- 5, 91.6)     9- 8   
 429 H Westfield HS, MA       MA    C/W D1  ( 7-10, 73.2)    19- 3   
 501 H Loomis Chaffee School  NE            (12- 3, 94.3)    13- 7   
 505 H Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (13- 5, 86.4)    16- 6   
 508 A West Springfield, MA   MA    C/W D1  ( 3-14, 66.8)    20- 7   
 509 A New Canaan             CT    Class M (19- 4, 97.7)     4-11   
 511 H Darien                 CT    Class L (20- 3, 99.9)    12- 9   
 512 H Amherst-Pelham         MA    C/W D1  ( 5-15, 68.3)    19- 3   
 514 H South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 6-12, 74.4)    19- 5   
 518 A Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (13- 5, 86.4)    15- 7   
 521 H Glastonbury            CT    Class L (15- 3, 96.7)    15- 8   
 526 A East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  (13- 6, 80.5)    18- 1   
 527 A Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (14- 5, 91.6)    11- 7   
 606 H North Middlesex        MA    C/W D1  (10- 9, 77.8)    20- 0   
 610 H Westborough            MA    C/W D1  (13- 5, 88.0)    16- 6   
 612 N Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (14- 5, 91.6)     8- 7   
 616 N North Andover          MA    No D1   (18- 6, 89.2)    10- 9   
 618 N Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (24- 1, 99.9)    10- 9 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Guilderland            10- 7       3     3          n/a  
   413 A South Hadley           15- 2      13    20           0.00
   416 H Agawam                 13- 4       9    11          -1.00
   417 H Belchertown            19- 1      18    20           0.00
   420 A Westwood, MA            5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.87
   421 A Agawam                 17- 2      15     9           0.31
   425 H Notre Dame Acad, MA     9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.65
   427 H Minnechaug              9- 8       1     4    -     -3.90
   429 H Westfield HS, MA       19- 3      16    23           0.00
   501 H Loomis Chaffee School  13- 7       6     2          n/a  
   505 H Northampton, MA        16- 6      10    10           0.00
   508 A West Springfield, MA   20- 7      13    27           0.00
   509 A New Canaan              4-11      -7    -2          n/a  
   511 H Darien                 12- 9       3    -3          n/a  
   512 H Amherst-Pelham         19- 3      16    28           0.00
   514 H South Hadley           19- 5      14    22           0.00
   518 A Northampton, MA        15- 7       8     8          -0.40
   521 H Glastonbury            15- 8       7     0          n/a  
   526 A East Longmeadow        18- 1      17    14           0.00
   527 A Minnechaug             11- 7       4     3           0.87
   606 H North Middlesex        20- 0      20    18           0.00
   610 H Westborough            16- 6      10     8           1.51
   612 N Minnechaug              8- 7       1     4    -     -3.01
   616 N North Andover          10- 9       1     6    --    -5.48
   618 N Westwood, MA           10- 9 2o    1    -4    ++     5.25

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A New Canaan              4-11      -7    -2    --         
   616 N North Andover          10- 9       1     6    --    -5.48
   420 A Westwood, MA            5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.87
   425 H Notre Dame Acad, MA     9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.65
   427 H Minnechaug              9- 8       1     4    -     -3.90
   612 N Minnechaug              8- 7       1     4    -     -3.01

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 H Darien                 12- 9       3    -3    +++        
   521 H Glastonbury            15- 8       7     0    +++        
   618 N Westwood, MA           10- 9 2o    1    -4    ++     5.25
   501 H Loomis Chaffee School  13- 7       6     2    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.65 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.59 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.71 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    5.6 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.160.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 22- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/