Holy Child, MD                3 - 7


 
                                     Region = DC    ISL AA           
   Nickname = D Tigers               Coach  =   Sarah Aschenbach      



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating = 86.768364

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 A Bullis School          DC    ISL A   (14- 8, 81.7)     8- 7   
 326 H Madeira School         DC    ISL A   ( 2- 4, 76.1)    14- 6   
 327 H Oakton                 VA 6A North   (12- 7, 92.4)    13-14   
 409 A Stone Ridge CDS        DC    ISL AA  (10- 6, 87.7)     6-14   
 414 A Episcopal, VA          DC    ISL AA  ( 6-10, 79.4)    13-12 3o
 416 A Georgetown Visitation  DC    ISL AA  (14- 8, 94.1)     3-18   
 421 A Flint Hill School      DC    ISL AA  (13- 7, 89.9)     8-12   
 423 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes DC    ISL AA  (28- 1, 99.9)     6-17   
 427 A St. John's College, DC DC    WCAC    ( 6-10, 80.3)   
 501 H Potomac School         DC    ISL AA  (12- 7, 85.5)    11-13   
 504 H Holton-Arms School     DC    ISL AA  ( 6- 9, 83.2)    12-13   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Bullis School           8- 7       1    -2    +      3.45
   326 H Madeira School         14- 6       8     5    +      2.70
   327 H Oakton                 13-14      -1   -11          n/a  
   409 A Stone Ridge CDS         6-14      -8    -8           0.46
   414 A Episcopal, VA          13-12 3o    1     0           1.10
   416 A Georgetown Visitation   3-18     -15   -14           0.00
   421 A Flint Hill School       8-12      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   423 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  6-17     -11   -20           0.00
   501 H Potomac School         11-13      -2    -4    +      2.18
   504 H Holton-Arms School     12-13      -1    -1           0.82


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Oakton                 13-14      -1   -11    +++        
   421 A Flint Hill School       8-12      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   317 A Bullis School           8- 7       1    -2    +      3.45
   326 H Madeira School         14- 6       8     5    +      2.70
   501 H Potomac School         11-13      -2    -4    +      2.18




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.31 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.40 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7


  
/