Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Tim Myslinski         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 96.718735

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A Amherst, NY            NY C  Sec 6   (17- 2, 99.9)     8- 9  o
 401 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 96.3)    13-14   
 414 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 86.0)    16-14  o
 417 A Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 6- 9, 77.3)    16- 2   
 418 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 69.4)    17- 1   
 422 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 9- 6, 91.0)     6- 7   
 424 A Iroquois               NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 84.3)    16- 6   
 425 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 6, 86.3)    18- 8   
 428 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 8, 86.0)    12- 2   
 429 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 96.3)     8-11   
 501 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (17- 2, 98.8)     7-12   
 504 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 86.0)    12-11   
 506 A Lake Shore             NY C  Sec 6   ( 9- 5, 91.6)    15-10   
 511 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (17- 2, 98.8)    14-15 2o
 513 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 9- 6, 91.0)     9- 5   
 515 H Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 3, 89.4)    17- 6   
 528 N Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (17- 2, 98.8)     8-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Amherst, NY             8- 9  o   -1    -7    +++    6.48
   401 H Hamburg                13-14      -1    -1           0.49
   414 A Clarence               16-14  o    2     6    --    -4.42
   417 A Niagara Falls          16- 2      14    15           0.00
   418 H Lockport               17- 1      16    25           0.00
   422 H Orchard Park            6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.89
   424 A Iroquois               16- 6      10     8           1.84
   425 H Williamsville North    18- 8      10     8           1.49
   428 A West Seneca East       12- 2      10     6    +      3.53
   429 A Hamburg                 8-11      -3    -3           0.92
   501 H Lancaster, NY           7-12      -5    -3          -1.10
   504 H Clarence               12-11       1     8    ---   -7.85
   506 A Lake Shore             15-10       5     0    ++     4.14
   511 A Lancaster, NY          14-15 2o   -1    -6    ++     5.33
   513 A Orchard Park            9- 5       4     1    +      2.54
   515 H Niagara-Wheatfield     17- 6      11     5    ++     4.52
   528 N Lancaster, NY           8-12      -4    -5           1.12

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Clarence               12-11       1     8    ---   -7.85
   414 A Clarence               16-14  o    2     6    --    -4.42
   422 H Orchard Park            6- 7      -1     3    --    -4.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Amherst, NY             8- 9  o   -1    -7    +++    6.48
   506 A Lake Shore             15-10       5     0    ++     4.14
   511 A Lancaster, NY          14-15 2o   -1    -6    ++     5.33
   515 H Niagara-Wheatfield     17- 6      11     5    ++     4.52
   428 A West Seneca East       12- 2      10     6    +      3.53
   513 A Orchard Park            9- 5       4     1    +      2.54
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.64 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.59 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .   12.4 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.120.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/