Region = NJ    Grp 4S           
   Nickname = J Patriots             Coach  =   Brian Snedden         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 82.749344

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Holmdel                NJ    Grp 2S  ( 9- 9, 71.4)    15- 5   
 401 H Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp 2S  (24- 2, 92.7)     5-15   
 402 A Middletown South, NJ   NJ    Grp 3N  ( 5-13, 67.2)    14- 8   
 407 A Middletown North, NJ   NJ    Grp 3N  ( 2-14, 64.4)    18- 3   
 409 A Marlboro, NJ           NJ    Grp 4S  ( 8-11, 69.2)    15- 6   
 414 A Allentown, NJ          NJ    Grp 3S  (11- 7, 82.8)     7-16   
 416 H Howell                 NJ    Grp 4S  (12- 6, 80.0)    16-13   
 418 A Manalapan              NJ    Grp 4S  (13- 6, 78.1)    15-17   
 421 H Middletown South, NJ   NJ    Grp 3N  ( 5-13, 67.2)    14- 2   
 422 H Ocean Township         NJ    Grp 3S  (10- 9, 78.2)     7- 5   
 425 H Marlboro, NJ           NJ    Grp 4S  ( 8-11, 69.2)    14- 5   
 427 H Middletown North, NJ   NJ    Grp 3N  ( 2-14, 64.4)    14- 6   
 429 H Toms River South       NJ    Grp 3S  (10- 7, 75.2)    13- 9   
 430 A Wall Township          NJ    Grp 3S  (16- 3, 84.4)     9-19   
 505 H Howell                 NJ    Grp 4S  (12- 6, 80.0)     6- 5   
 507 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp 2S  (24- 2, 92.7)     2-16   
 509 H Wall Township          NJ    Grp 3S  (16- 3, 84.4)    12-13   
 513 H Manalapan              NJ    Grp 4S  (13- 6, 78.1)    10-11 2o
 514 A Howell                 NJ    Grp 4S  (12- 6, 80.0)    10- 4   
 518 A Howell                 NJ    Grp 4S  (12- 6, 80.0)     8-13   
 519 A Lenape                 NJ    Grp 4S  (20- 2, 96.8)     1-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Holmdel                15- 5      10     5    ++     4.33
   401 H Rumson-Fair Haven       5-15     -10   -12           0.00
   402 A Middletown South, NJ   14- 8       6     9    -     -3.87
   407 A Middletown North, NJ   18- 3      15    12           0.00
   409 A Marlboro, NJ           15- 6       9     7           1.07
   414 A Allentown, NJ           7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.32
   416 H Howell                 16-13       3     0    +      2.76
   418 A Manalapan              15-17      -2    -1          -0.99
   421 H Middletown South, NJ   14- 2      12    12           0.00
   422 H Ocean Township          7- 5       2     2          -0.08
   425 H Marlboro, NJ           14- 5       9    11          -1.00
   427 H Middletown North, NJ   14- 6       8    15    -     -2.00
   429 H Toms River South       13- 9       4     5          -1.05
   430 A Wall Township           9-19     -10    -7    -     -2.72
   505 H Howell                  6- 5       1     0           0.76
   507 A Rumson-Fair Haven       2-16     -14   -15           0.00
   509 H Wall Township          12-13      -1    -4    +      3.16
   513 H Manalapan              10-11 2o   -1     2    -     -3.11
   514 A Howell                 10- 4       6    -2    +++    8.88
   518 A Howell                  8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.12
   519 A Lenape                  1-16     -15   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Middletown South, NJ   14- 8       6     9    -     -3.87
   414 A Allentown, NJ           7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.32
   427 H Middletown North, NJ   14- 6       8    15    -     -2.00
   430 A Wall Township           9-19     -10    -7    -     -2.72
   513 H Manalapan              10-11 2o   -1     2    -     -3.11
   518 A Howell                  8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 A Howell                 10- 4       6    -2    +++    8.88
   328 A Holmdel                15- 5      10     5    ++     4.33
   416 H Howell                 16-13       3     0    +      2.76
   509 H Wall Township          12-13      -1    -4    +      3.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.67 Local Power Rank...........    69
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.95 Local SOS Rank.............    63
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    34
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    49
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    87
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/