Region = MA    East D1          
   Nickname = A Flyers               Coach  =   Stacy Freda           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 89.98465

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 H Medford, MA            MA    No D1   (10-11, 73.7)    13- 3   
 410 A Dedham                 MA    So D2   ( 3-10, 73.1)    14- 1   
 413 H Wellesley HS           MA    So D1   (17- 2, 92.1)    10-12   
 414 A Newton North           MA    East D1 (13- 8, 85.0)    11-10   
 416 A Milton, MA             MA    So D1   ( 4-12, 73.4)    17- 9   
 421 A Winchester             MA    No D1   (11- 8, 82.5)    15-12   
 422 H Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (24- 1, 99.9)     6-17   
 424 H North Andover          MA    No D1   (18- 6, 89.2)    10-13   
 427 A Braintree              MA    So D1   (10-10, 82.1)    13-12   
 501 H Norwood                MA    So D1   (12- 8, 82.8)    18-13   
 505 H Walpole                MA    East D2 (15- 6, 88.9)    23-18   
 507 A Wellesley HS           MA    So D1   (17- 2, 92.1)     6- 8   
 508 H Bishop Fenwick, MA     MA    No D2   (14- 6, 82.3)    19-13   
 511 H Woburn Memorial        MA    No D1   (12- 5, 83.0)     9- 7   
 512 H Weymouth               MA    So D1   ( 5-12, 69.8)    19- 8   
 514 H Brookline              MA    East D1 ( 4-12, 71.4)    14- 4   
 518 A Natick                 MA    East D1 (14- 7, 84.0)    19-12   
 521 H Reading Memorial       MA    No D1   (12-11, 83.1)    12-10   
 526 H Andover, MA            MA    No D1   (15- 6, 87.0)    11-12   
 527 H Needham                MA    So D1   (21- 2, 94.8)     9-17   
 601 H Newton South           MA    East D1 (10- 9, 77.2)    15- 5   
 604 A Bishop Feehan          MA    East D1 (18- 2, 87.7)    17-11   
 609 N Concord-Carlisle       MA    East D1 (19- 2, 93.7)    12-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Medford, MA            13- 3      10    14           0.00
   410 A Dedham                 14- 1      13    13           0.00
   413 H Wellesley HS           10-12      -2    -3           1.96
   414 A Newton North           11-10       1     1          -0.35
   416 A Milton, MA             17- 9       8    13    -     -2.00
   421 A Winchester             15-12       3     3          -0.87
   422 H Westwood, MA            6-17     -11   -11           0.00
   424 H North Andover          10-13      -3    -1          -1.97
   427 A Braintree              13-12       1     4    -     -3.25
   501 H Norwood                18-13       5     5          -0.30
   505 H Walpole                23-18       5     0    ++     5.76
   507 A Wellesley HS            6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.72
   508 H Bishop Fenwick, MA     19-13       6     5           0.15
   511 H Woburn Memorial         9- 7       2     5    -     -3.10
   512 H Weymouth               19- 8      11    18           0.00
   514 H Brookline              14- 4      10    16           0.00
   518 A Natick                 19-12       7     2    ++     4.61
   521 H Reading Memorial       12-10       2     5    -     -3.04
   526 H Andover, MA            11-12      -1     1    -     -2.14
   527 H Needham                 9-17      -8    -6          -1.35
   601 H Newton South           15- 5      10    10           0.00
   604 A Bishop Feehan          17-11       6    -1    +++    7.31
   609 N Concord-Carlisle       12-18      -6    -6           0.45

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Milton, MA             17- 9       8    13    -     -2.00
   427 A Braintree              13-12       1     4    -     -3.25
   511 H Woburn Memorial         9- 7       2     5    -     -3.10
   521 H Reading Memorial       12-10       2     5    -     -3.04
   526 H Andover, MA            11-12      -1     1    -     -2.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   604 A Bishop Feehan          17-11       6    -1    +++    7.31
   505 H Walpole                23-18       5     0    ++     5.76
   518 A Natick                 19-12       7     2    ++     4.61
   507 A Wellesley HS            6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.72
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.26 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.46 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    67
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
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