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Region = MA East D1 Nickname = A Flyers Coach = Stacy FredaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.98465 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 409 H Medford, MA MA No D1 (10-11, 73.7) 13- 3 410 A Dedham MA So D2 ( 3-10, 73.1) 14- 1 413 H Wellesley HS MA So D1 (17- 2, 92.1) 10-12 414 A Newton North MA East D1 (13- 8, 85.0) 11-10 416 A Milton, MA MA So D1 ( 4-12, 73.4) 17- 9 421 A Winchester MA No D1 (11- 8, 82.5) 15-12 422 H Westwood, MA MA So D1 (24- 1, 99.9) 6-17 424 H North Andover MA No D1 (18- 6, 89.2) 10-13 427 A Braintree MA So D1 (10-10, 82.1) 13-12 501 H Norwood MA So D1 (12- 8, 82.8) 18-13 505 H Walpole MA East D2 (15- 6, 88.9) 23-18 507 A Wellesley HS MA So D1 (17- 2, 92.1) 6- 8 508 H Bishop Fenwick, MA MA No D2 (14- 6, 82.3) 19-13 511 H Woburn Memorial MA No D1 (12- 5, 83.0) 9- 7 512 H Weymouth MA So D1 ( 5-12, 69.8) 19- 8 514 H Brookline MA East D1 ( 4-12, 71.4) 14- 4 518 A Natick MA East D1 (14- 7, 84.0) 19-12 521 H Reading Memorial MA No D1 (12-11, 83.1) 12-10 526 H Andover, MA MA No D1 (15- 6, 87.0) 11-12 527 H Needham MA So D1 (21- 2, 94.8) 9-17 601 H Newton South MA East D1 (10- 9, 77.2) 15- 5 604 A Bishop Feehan MA East D1 (18- 2, 87.7) 17-11 609 N Concord-Carlisle MA East D1 (19- 2, 93.7) 12-18PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Medford, MA 13- 3 10 14 0.00 410 A Dedham 14- 1 13 13 0.00 413 H Wellesley HS 10-12 -2 -3 1.96 414 A Newton North 11-10 1 1 -0.35 416 A Milton, MA 17- 9 8 13 - -2.00 421 A Winchester 15-12 3 3 -0.87 422 H Westwood, MA 6-17 -11 -11 0.00 424 H North Andover 10-13 -3 -1 -1.97 427 A Braintree 13-12 1 4 - -3.25 501 H Norwood 18-13 5 5 -0.30 505 H Walpole 23-18 5 0 ++ 5.76 507 A Wellesley HS 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.72 508 H Bishop Fenwick, MA 19-13 6 5 0.15 511 H Woburn Memorial 9- 7 2 5 - -3.10 512 H Weymouth 19- 8 11 18 0.00 514 H Brookline 14- 4 10 16 0.00 518 A Natick 19-12 7 2 ++ 4.61 521 H Reading Memorial 12-10 2 5 - -3.04 526 H Andover, MA 11-12 -1 1 - -2.14 527 H Needham 9-17 -8 -6 -1.35 601 H Newton South 15- 5 10 10 0.00 604 A Bishop Feehan 17-11 6 -1 +++ 7.31 609 N Concord-Carlisle 12-18 -6 -6 0.45UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 A Milton, MA 17- 9 8 13 - -2.00 427 A Braintree 13-12 1 4 - -3.25 511 H Woburn Memorial 9- 7 2 5 - -3.10 521 H Reading Memorial 12-10 2 5 - -3.04 526 H Andover, MA 11-12 -1 1 - -2.14OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 604 A Bishop Feehan 17-11 6 -1 +++ 7.31 505 H Walpole 23-18 5 0 ++ 5.76 518 A Natick 19-12 7 2 ++ 4.61 507 A Wellesley HS 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.72/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.26 Local Power Rank........... 24 Local SOS Rating......... 65.46 Local SOS Rank............. 11 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 14 Championship Probability . 0.0 Championship Rank ....... 67 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 23 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.3