Region = CT    Class M          
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Pat Semancik          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 74.89197

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Woodstock Academy      CT    Class M ( 3-13, 64.6)    15-14   
 410 A East Lyme              CT    Class M (15- 5, 85.3)     5-16   
 413 H Norwich Free Acad      CT    Class L ( 7-10, 68.3)    16-18   
 422 A Old Lyme               CT    Class S (18- 3, 86.4)     5-16   
 423 A Waterford, CT          CT    Class S (15- 5, 77.8)     5-17   
 427 H Bacon Academy          CT    Class M (11- 7, 74.1)    17-16   
 428 H Montville, CT          CT    Class S ( 3-13, 59.3)    21-10   
 430 A Griswold               CT    Indep   ( 2-11, 56.2)    17- 4   
 505 H Stonington             CT    Class S (11- 6, 77.2)     4-16   
 506 A Ledyard                CT    Class M (10- 8, 74.9)     9-11   
 507 A Woodstock Academy      CT    Class M ( 3-13, 64.6)    11- 8   
 512 H East Lyme              CT    Class M (15- 5, 85.3)     7-15   
 514 A Norwich Free Acad      CT    Class L ( 7-10, 68.3)    16-15   
 515 A Morgan School          CT    Class S ( 9- 9, 72.9)    13-19   
 519 H Ledyard                CT    Class M (10- 8, 74.9)    14-13   
 522 A Bacon Academy          CT    Class M (11- 7, 74.1)    18-12   
 530 A Windsor, CT            CT    Class M (10- 7, 75.9)     8-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Woodstock Academy      15-14       1     6    --    -5.91
   410 A East Lyme               5-16     -11   -15           0.00
   413 H Norwich Free Acad      16-18      -2     3    --    -5.27
   422 A Old Lyme                5-16     -11   -16           0.00
   423 A Waterford, CT           5-17     -12    -7    -     -2.29
   427 H Bacon Academy          17-16       1    -2    +      3.54
   428 H Montville, CT          21-10      11    12           0.00
   430 A Griswold               17- 4      13    13           0.00
   505 H Stonington              4-16     -12    -5    --    -4.31
   506 A Ledyard                 9-11      -2    -4    +      2.82
   507 A Woodstock Academy      11- 8       3     5    -     -2.43
   512 H East Lyme               7-15      -8   -13    +      2.00
   514 A Norwich Free Acad      16-15       1     1          -0.79
   515 A Morgan School          13-19      -6    -2    -     -3.15
   519 H Ledyard                14-13       1    -3    ++     4.35
   522 A Bacon Academy          18-12       6    -4    +++   10.01
   530 A Windsor, CT             8-13      -5    -5           0.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Woodstock Academy      15-14       1     6    --    -5.91
   413 H Norwich Free Acad      16-18      -2     3    --    -5.27
   505 H Stonington              4-16     -12    -5    --    -4.31
   423 A Waterford, CT           5-17     -12    -7    -     -2.29
   507 A Woodstock Academy      11- 8       3     5    -     -2.43
   515 A Morgan School          13-19      -6    -2    -     -3.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 A Bacon Academy          18-12       6    -4    +++   10.01
   519 H Ledyard                14-13       1    -3    ++     4.35
   427 H Bacon Academy          17-16       1    -2    +      3.54
   506 A Ledyard                 9-11      -2    -4    +      2.82
   512 H East Lyme               7-15      -8   -13    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.80 Local Power Rank...........    62
 Local SOS Rating......... 46.55 Local SOS Rank.............    63
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    49
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    53
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/