Elmira Free Academy           0 -10


 
                                     Region = NY    Indep            
   Nickname = Y Blue Devils          Coach  =   Jana Reidy            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating = 79.86302

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Chenango Forks         NY C  Sec 4   (10- 7, 82.8)     4-11   
 407 H Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 9- 6, 87.5)     4-12   
 409 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 7- 9, 84.3)     6-13   
 414 A Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (10- 6, 92.5)     0-17   
 418 H Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 5-11, 78.4)     3-13   
 427 A Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   (15- 2, 99.9)     3-21   
 429 A Owego Free Academy     NY C  Sec 4   ( 5- 8, 77.8)     7-12   
 507 H Seton Catholic Central NY C  Sec 4   ( 8- 6, 79.4)     9-10   
 511 H Seton Catholic Central NY C  Sec 4   ( 8- 6, 79.4)    10-15   
 513 A Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 9- 6, 87.5)     6-11   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Chenango Forks          4-11      -7   -12    +      3.00
   407 H Horseheads              4-12      -8   -16    +      2.00
   409 H Ithaca                  6-13      -7   -12    +      3.00
   414 A Corning                 0-17     -17   -21           0.00
   418 H Union-Endicott          3-13     -10    -7    -     -2.89
   427 A Vestal                  3-21     -18   -29           0.00
   429 A Owego Free Academy      7-12      -5    -7    +      2.33
   507 H Seton Catholic Central  9-10      -1    -8    +++    7.09
   511 H Seton Catholic Central 10-15      -5    -8    +      3.09
   513 A Horseheads              6-11      -5   -16    ++     5.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Union-Endicott          3-13     -10    -7    -     -2.89


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 H Seton Catholic Central  9-10      -1    -8    +++    7.09
   513 A Horseheads              6-11      -5   -16    ++     5.00
   401 A Chenango Forks          4-11      -7   -12    +      3.00
   407 H Horseheads              4-12      -8   -16    +      2.00
   409 H Ithaca                  6-13      -7   -12    +      3.00
   429 A Owego Free Academy      7-12      -5    -7    +      2.33
   511 H Seton Catholic Central 10-15      -5    -8    +      3.09




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.92 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.31 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.39 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7


  
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