Charlottesville               3 - 8


 
                                     Region = VA 2A South            
   Nickname = A Black Knights        Coach  =   Sally DuBose          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating = 73.41403

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 H Jefferson Forest       VA Cb Indep   (10- 4, 67.1)    10- 9   
 325 H Culpeper County        VA 2A South   ( 7- 9, 65.6)    11- 9   
 401 H Culpeper County        VA 2A South   ( 7- 9, 65.6)    25-15   
 414 H Western Albemarle      VA 2A South   (13- 6, 81.1)    10-16   
 421 A Monticello, VA         VA 2A South   (14- 3, 82.4)     7-20   
 428 A Albemarle              VA 5A South   (11- 9, 77.7)     9-17   
 501 H Albemarle              VA 5A South   (11- 9, 77.7)     7-17   
 505 A Western Albemarle      VA 2A South   (13- 6, 81.1)    10-19   
 512 H Monticello, VA         VA 2A South   (14- 3, 82.4)    13-24   
 515 H E.C. Glass             VA 2A South   ( 7- 7, 70.5)     5- 9   
 520 A Western Albemarle      VA 2A South   (13- 6, 81.1)     4-15   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Jefferson Forest       10- 9       1     0           0.75
   325 H Culpeper County        11- 9       2     1           0.26
   401 H Culpeper County        25-15      10     1    +++    8.26
   414 H Western Albemarle      10-16      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   421 A Monticello, VA          7-20     -13   -17           0.00
   428 A Albemarle               9-17      -8   -12    +      2.00
   501 H Albemarle               7-17     -10   -10           0.00
   505 A Western Albemarle      10-19      -9   -15           1.00
   512 H Monticello, VA         13-24     -11   -15           0.00
   515 H E.C. Glass              5- 9      -4    -3          -0.83
   520 A Western Albemarle       4-15     -11   -15           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Culpeper County        25-15      10     1    +++    8.26
   414 H Western Albemarle      10-16      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   428 A Albemarle               9-17      -8   -12    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 66.40 Local Power Rank...........    88
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.52 Local SOS Rank.............    54
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    53
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   108
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.7


  
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