Region = NC    C5               
   Nickname = C Tigers               Coach  =   Dan Segal             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 91.15753

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 309 A R.J. Reynolds          NC    C8      (14- 4, 87.9)    16- 6   
 311 H Middle Creek           NC    C3      (10- 4, 87.1)    20- 9   
 313 A Riverside, NC          NC    C5      ( 0- 9, 67.5)    15- 2   
 317 H East Chapel Hill       NC    C5      ( 9- 8, 88.2)    10- 8   
 320 A Cardinal Gibbons, NC   NC    C5      (19- 2, 99.0)     3-20   
 325 H Jordan, NC             NC    C5      ( 0- 9, 67.1)    17- 3   
 407 A Carrboro               NC    C5      ( 5-10, 78.8)    17- 4   
 413 H Riverside, NC          NC    C5      ( 0- 9, 67.5)    20- 1   
 415 A Ravenscroft School     NC    NCISAA  (14- 4, 93.5)    14-13  o
 417 A East Chapel Hill       NC    C5      ( 9- 8, 88.2)    12-10   
 422 H Cardinal Gibbons, NC   NC    C5      (19- 2, 99.0)    10-16   
 423 A Jordan, NC             NC    C5      ( 0- 9, 67.1)    19- 1   
 428 H Carrboro               NC    C5      ( 5-10, 78.8)    19- 4   
 429 A Durham Academy         NC    NCISAA  (11- 5, 93.8)     4-19   
 508 A Wakefield, NC          NC    C4      (18- 1, 93.4)    13-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 A R.J. Reynolds          16- 6      10     2    +++    7.34
   311 H Middle Creek           20- 9      11     5    ++     4.26
   313 A Riverside, NC          15- 2      13    23           0.00
   317 H East Chapel Hill       10- 8       2     4    -     -2.71
   320 A Cardinal Gibbons, NC    3-20     -17    -8          -1.51
   325 H Jordan, NC             17- 3      14    25           0.00
   407 A Carrboro               17- 4      13    11           0.00
   413 H Riverside, NC          20- 1      19    25           0.00
   415 A Ravenscroft School     14-13  o    1    -2    +      3.93
   417 A East Chapel Hill       12-10       2     2          -0.38
   422 H Cardinal Gibbons, NC   10-16      -6    -6           0.15
   423 A Jordan, NC             19- 1      18    23           0.00
   428 H Carrboro               19- 4      15    14           0.00
   429 A Durham Academy          4-19     -15    -3    ---   -6.75
   508 A Wakefield, NC          13-15      -2    -2           0.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Durham Academy          4-19     -15    -3    ---   -6.75
   317 H East Chapel Hill       10- 8       2     4    -     -2.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 A R.J. Reynolds          16- 6      10     2    +++    7.34
   311 H Middle Creek           20- 9      11     5    ++     4.26
   415 A Ravenscroft School     14-13  o    1    -2    +      3.93
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.72 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.49 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/