Region = VA 5A North            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Don Gasser            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 83.648895

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 H Heritage, VA           VA 2A North   ( 3-12, 64.5)    22- 6   
 318 N Osbourn HS             VA 6A North   ( 0-10, 57.6)    17- 1   
 319 A John Champe            VA 2A North   ( 7- 8, 71.8)    15- 8   
 323 A Kettle Run             VA 2A South   (10- 7, 74.0)    15- 7   
 409 A Tuscarora, VA          VA 5A North   (13- 2, 85.6)     9-18   
 416 H Potomac Falls          VA 5A North   (14- 5, 85.9)    15-14   
 420 A Broad Run              VA 5A North   ( 5- 9, 76.2)    14-10   
 423 H Freedom, South Riding  VA 5A North   ( 7- 9, 74.8)    10-11   
 427 H Tuscarora, VA          VA 5A North   (13- 2, 85.6)    12-13 3o
 504 A Potomac Falls          VA 5A North   (14- 5, 85.9)     6-12   
 507 H Broad Run              VA 5A North   ( 5- 9, 76.2)    10- 6   
 511 A Freedom, South Riding  VA 5A North   ( 7- 9, 74.8)    11- 8   
 513 H Stone Bridge           VA 5A North   (12- 7, 84.1)     9-13   
 518 H Broad Run              VA 5A North   ( 5- 9, 76.2)    16-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Heritage, VA           22- 6      16    16           0.00
   318 N Osbourn HS             17- 1      16    22           0.00
   319 A John Champe            15- 8       7     6           0.06
   323 A Kettle Run             15- 7       8     4    +      3.25
   409 A Tuscarora, VA           9-18      -9    -6    -     -2.11
   416 H Potomac Falls          15-14       1    -5    +++    6.21
   420 A Broad Run              14-10       4     2           1.40
   423 H Freedom, South Riding  10-11      -1     5    ---   -6.89
   427 H Tuscarora, VA          12-13 3o   -1    -4    +      3.94
   504 A Potomac Falls           6-12      -6    -7           1.16
   507 H Broad Run              10- 6       4     4          -0.55
   511 A Freedom, South Riding  11- 8       3     3          -0.94
   513 H Stone Bridge            9-13      -4    -3          -0.64
   518 H Broad Run              16-20      -4     4    ---   -8.55

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Freedom, South Riding  10-11      -1     5    ---   -6.89
   518 H Broad Run              16-20      -4     4    ---   -8.55
   409 A Tuscarora, VA           9-18      -9    -6    -     -2.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Potomac Falls          15-14       1    -5    +++    6.21
   323 A Kettle Run             15- 7       8     4    +      3.25
   427 H Tuscarora, VA          12-13 3o   -1    -4    +      3.94
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.73 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.54 Local SOS Rank.............    43
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    39
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    66
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/