Conf =  MC                        Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Barons               Coach  =   Richard Curtis        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 94.108864

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Hilton                 NY B  Sec 5   (10- 7, 84.8)    17- 8   
 407 H Our Lady of Mercy, Roc NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 81.3)    14- 6   
 409 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 85.5)    10- 7   
 411 A Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (10- 6, 92.5)    12- 5   
 413 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (18- 3, 99.9)     2-15   
 415 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 9, 93.7)     3-10   
 417 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (13- 9, 94.3)     9-10 3o
 418 H Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (13- 4, 97.2)     3-17   
 421 A Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (14- 5, 96.0)     4-13   
 423 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (11- 7, 93.4)     2- 6   
 427 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-11, 88.2)    12- 8   
 429 H Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   (11- 7, 94.0)    11- 7   
 501 H Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   ( 5-13, 86.8)     5- 4   
 507 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 90.1)    10- 7   
 508 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (12- 6, 94.1)     4-10   
 513 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (17- 4, 99.3)     2- 9   
 518 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (11- 7, 93.4)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Hilton                 17- 8       9     4    ++     4.80
   407 H Our Lady of Mercy, Roc 14- 6       8     9          -1.75
   409 H Rush-Henrietta         10- 7       3     5    -     -2.59
   411 A Corning                12- 5       7    -3          n/a  
   413 A Pittsford               2-15     -13   -10           0.00
   415 H Penfield                3-10      -7    -2    --    -4.41
   417 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      9-10 3o   -1    -5    ++     4.25
   418 H Cicero-North Syracuse   3-17     -14    -6          n/a  
   421 A Webster Thomas          4-13      -9    -7          -1.98
   423 A Irondequoit             2- 6      -4    -4           0.43
   427 H Webster Schroeder      12- 8       4     2           1.11
   429 H Churchville-Chili      11- 7       4    -2    +++    6.89
   501 H Canandaigua Academy     5- 4       1     4    -     -3.30
   507 A Fairport               10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.09
   508 H Baldwinsville           4-10      -6    -3          n/a  
   513 A Victor                  2- 9      -7   -10    +      3.00
   518 A Irondequoit             8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.43

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Penfield                3-10      -7    -2    --    -4.41
   409 H Rush-Henrietta         10- 7       3     5    -     -2.59
   418 H Cicero-North Syracuse   3-17     -14    -6    -          
   501 H Canandaigua Academy     5- 4       1     4    -     -3.30
   508 H Baldwinsville           4-10      -6    -3    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Corning                12- 5       7    -3    +++        
   429 H Churchville-Chili      11- 7       4    -2    +++    6.89
   325 A Hilton                 17- 8       9     4    ++     4.80
   417 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      9-10 3o   -1    -5    ++     4.25
   507 A Fairport               10- 7       3    -1    ++     4.09
   513 A Victor                  2- 9      -7   -10    +      3.00
   518 A Irondequoit             8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.04 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.71 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.4 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/